Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Heidenheim v FSV Mainz 05

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 13:30 UTC

Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 0–2 FSV Mainz 05

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Heidenheim (Local)

Prediction 47.99%2.08fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.39%48.04%47.96%50.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.931.952.0455.25%51.72%51.28%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FSV Mainz 05 (Visit)

Prediction 28.73%3.48fair odd
EV +1.99%
Edge +0.560%
Kelly +0.780%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.89%28.68%28.76%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.303.303.5533.33%30.27%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.28%4.30fair odd
EV +2.44%
Edge +0.555%
Kelly +0.719%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.09%23.28%23.28%26.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.304.064.104.4030.30%24.61%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Heidenheim (Local): 47.99%; FSV Mainz 05 (Visit): 28.73%; Draw: 23.28%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.45%EV -7.38%E -3.83%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.43%EV +1.99%E +0.560%K +0.780%G +0.016%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.13%EV +2.44%E +0.555%K +0.719%G +0.018%2.7%2026-05-16 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.45%EV -7.38%E -3.83%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.43%EV +1.99%E +0.560%K +0.780%G +0.016%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.13%EV +2.44%E +0.555%K +0.719%G +0.018%2.7%2026-05-16 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.45%EV -7.38%E -3.83%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.43%EV +1.99%E +0.560%K +0.780%G +0.016%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.13%EV +2.44%E +0.555%K +0.719%G +0.018%2.7%2026-05-16 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.38%EV -8.34%E -4.37%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV +0.552%E +0.158%K +0.221%G +0.001%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV +1.28%E +0.294%K +0.382%G +0.005%3.9%2026-05-16 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.32%EV -4.98%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.44%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV +0.116%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 13:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.49%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.81%EV -0.310%E -0.089%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -1.05%E -0.247%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 13:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.49%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.81%EV -0.310%E -0.089%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -1.05%E -0.247%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 13:25
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.41%EV -3.54%E -1.76%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.53%EV -2.03%E -0.596%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.06%EV -1.75%E -0.414%K -0.542%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-16 13:20
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.09%EV -4.98%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV +0.552%E +0.158%K +0.221%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.691%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 12:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.99%EV -3.06%E -1.52%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 13:25
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.81%EV -4.02%E -2.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 13:25
Suprabets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.97%EV -4.98%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV -7.21%E -2.23%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.691%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 13:24
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -8.34%E -4.37%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.691%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 12:45
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.46%EV -5.46%E -2.77%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -4.62%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.78%EV -2.45%E -0.584%K -0.767%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 13:25
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.52%EV -2.10%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.29%EV -4.91%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.19%EV -2.68%E -0.641%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 13:20
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.93%EV -4.98%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.20%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -3.38%E -0.814%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:25
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.93%EV -4.98%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.20%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -3.38%E -0.814%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:20
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.76%EV -4.02%E -2.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.94%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 13:25
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.67%EV -4.50%E -2.26%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:20
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.67%EV -4.50%E -2.26%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 13:25
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 13:19
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -8.34%E -4.37%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 13:15
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -8.82%E -4.64%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 13:15
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.64%EV -10.26%E -5.49%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 13:25
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.64%EV -10.26%E -5.49%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 13:25
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.64%EV -10.26%E -5.49%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 13:25
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.64%EV -10.26%E -5.49%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 13:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.13%EV -7.86%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -11.22%E -6.07%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 13:25
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -11.22%E -6.07%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 13:25
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -12.18%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.04%EV -13.14%E -7.26%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.81%EV -4.50%E -2.26%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.40%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -5.46%E -2.77%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 13:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.02%E -2.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.02%E -2.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 13:25
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 12:49
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:24
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -4.02%E -2.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 13:20
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.02%E -2.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 12:50
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:25
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:20
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -6.90%E -3.56%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -6.90%E -3.56%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.34%E -4.37%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 12:50
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.34%E -4.37%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 13:14
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 13:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.86%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 13:24
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -12.66%E -6.96%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -12.18%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 13:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -12.18%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 13:25
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -12.18%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 13:25
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.03%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 13:24
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 13:15
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 13:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -8.34%E -4.37%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 13:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -9.78%E -5.20%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 13:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.39%EV -4.98%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.98%EV -10.83%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 13:24
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -8.34%E -4.37%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.03%EV -12.18%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.08%EV -23.17%E -7.02%K -10.07%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-16 13:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-05-16 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-16 13:25
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%1.0%2026-05-16 13:25
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%1.8%2026-05-16 13:20