Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Heidenheim v FC St. Pauli

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Heidenheim (Local)

Prediction 40.02%2.50fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.627%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.21%39.96%40.11%40.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.382.4645.45%42.38%42.02%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC St. Pauli (Visit)

Prediction 31.92%3.13fair odd
EV +0.561%
Edge +0.178%
Kelly +0.261%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.98%31.95%31.86%33.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.932.903.1535.71%34.10%34.48%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.05%3.56fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.519%
Kelly -0.727%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.00%28.08%28.03%29.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.323.343.5033.33%30.08%29.94%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Heidenheim (Local): 40.02%; FC St. Pauli (Visit): 31.92%; Draw: 28.05%. For FC St. Pauli (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.561%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%EV -1.54%E -0.627%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%EV +0.561%E +0.178%K +0.261%G +0.001%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.65%EV -3.50%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%EV -1.03%E -0.334%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.68%EV -5.18%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.61%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -1.67%E -0.543%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.22%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 09:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%EV -1.94%E -0.793%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -2.63%E -0.863%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 14:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%EV -1.94%E -0.793%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -2.63%E -0.863%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 20:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%EV -1.94%E -0.793%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -2.63%E -0.863%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 20:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%EV -1.94%E -0.793%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -2.63%E -0.863%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 20:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.28%EV -3.94%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.70%EV -2.63%E -0.863%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV -3.22%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.28%EV -3.94%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.70%EV -2.63%E -0.863%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV -3.22%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 12:45
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.76%EV -7.15%E -3.08%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -2.63%E -0.863%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 09:30
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.76%EV -7.15%E -3.08%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -2.63%E -0.863%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 09:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -3.94%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 01:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 08:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 07:45
Bovada🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.35%EV -6.35%E -2.71%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 09:36
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.35%EV -6.35%E -2.71%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 09:30
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -3.94%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 08:02
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.95%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.49%EV -6.75%E -2.90%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.76%EV -5.19%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 13:37
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.94%E -0.793%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.69%EV -5.82%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.95%EV -3.22%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 03:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.82%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 23:23
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -5.82%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -5.82%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 20:19
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -5.82%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 20:19
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -5.82%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 20:20
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -5.82%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 20:20
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -5.82%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 20:19
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -5.82%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 20:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.95%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.82%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 13:35
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.82%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:00
GTbets🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.25%EV -3.14%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%EV -6.14%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.44%EV -6.30%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 07:54
Suprabets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.43%EV -9.15%E -4.03%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.43%EV -6.78%E -2.32%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:18
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -3.94%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -1.82%E -0.519%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -3.94%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 07:50
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -3.94%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 07:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.82%E -0.519%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 09:05
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 22:35
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 07:50
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:19
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.95%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 12:40
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -8.75%E -3.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 09:29
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.95%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 16:14
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.95%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.95%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.95%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 16:14
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:33
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:45
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -8.06%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-24 01:25
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -5.14%E -2.17%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -8.38%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.82%E -0.519%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 12:49
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -1.94%E -0.793%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.88%EV -8.38%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 12:23
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.66%EV -8.38%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 22:34
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -1.94%E -0.793%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -9.02%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 12:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.02%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 12:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.02%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 08:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -9.02%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -11.63%E -3.69%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -9.02%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -11.63%E -3.69%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -1.94%E -0.793%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -10.61%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -1.94%E -0.793%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -10.61%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:24
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -1.94%E -0.793%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -10.61%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:25
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.61%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 12:45
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.61%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 12:50
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.95%E -5.43%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.61%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 09:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -7.95%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.61%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -15.84%E -5.28%K -7.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-04-23 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-04-23 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-04-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-04-23 16:35
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-04-23 21:25
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%3.4%2026-04-23 16:00