Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

USL Dunkerque v Saint Etienne

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 18:00 UTC

Final: USL Dunkerque 2–1 Saint Etienne

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USL Dunkerque (Local)

Prediction 18.80%5.32fair odd
EV +3.42%
Edge +0.621%
Kelly +0.760%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.36%18.79%18.82%20.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.874.905.5023.09%20.53%20.41%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Etienne (Visit)

Prediction 58.67%1.70fair odd
EV -4.96%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -8.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.46%58.66%58.68%60.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.53%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.53%4.44fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.566%
Kelly -0.735%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.55%22.55%22.51%23.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.034.004.3327.03%24.84%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USL Dunkerque (Local): 18.80%; Saint Etienne (Visit): 58.67%; Draw: 22.53%. For USL Dunkerque (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.32. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +3.42%E +0.621%K +0.760%G +0.026%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%EV -7.31%E -4.62%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -3.12%E -0.727%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -1.28%E -0.244%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -1.28%E -0.244%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -8.48%E -5.43%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:55
Pinnacle🎯5.12I 19.53%NM 18.32%EV -3.73%E -0.728%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.63%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.05%EV -8.31%E -2.04%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:50
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 17:55
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 17:46
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.89%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -2.45%E -0.566%K -0.735%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 17:31
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 17:20
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -5.55%E -3.44%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -11.01%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:20
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -5.55%E -3.44%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -11.01%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:20
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -5.55%E -3.44%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -11.01%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:20
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -5.55%E -3.44%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -11.01%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -5.55%E -3.44%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -11.01%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:20
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -5.55%E -3.44%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -11.01%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -5.55%E -3.44%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -11.01%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:20
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -5.55%E -3.44%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -11.01%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:19
ATG (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -5.55%E -3.44%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -11.01%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -5.55%E -3.44%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -11.01%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:20
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.89%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 17:44
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.89%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 17:44
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.89%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 17:50
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -12.00%E -8.00%K -24.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 17:31
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -13.26%E -3.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 17:55
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -5.55%E -3.44%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -5.55%E -3.44%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -5.55%E -3.44%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
BetUS🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -5.55%E -3.44%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -8.76%E -2.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 17:55
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -8.76%E -2.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 17:55
Suprabets🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -8.48%E -5.43%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.23%EV -11.91%E -3.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 17:46
1xBet🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.42%EV -9.18%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -5.55%E -3.44%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:46
Marathon Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:55
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -7.31%E -4.62%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 17:55
Bovada🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.89%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:49
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.89%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:51
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.89%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:51
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.89%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.89%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:51
NetBet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -10.24%E -6.69%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-12 17:25
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.68%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -7.89%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -10.68%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.50%EV -10.24%E -6.69%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.66%EV -11.01%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.83%EV -10.68%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -8.48%E -5.43%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -15.52%E -4.14%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.83%EV -10.68%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -8.48%E -5.43%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -15.52%E -4.14%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 17:20
BetRivers🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.83%EV -10.68%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -8.48%E -5.43%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -15.52%E -4.14%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV -11.62%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.71%EV -8.48%E -5.43%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV -11.62%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.71%EV -8.48%E -5.43%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV -11.62%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.34%EV -9.65%E -6.27%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -16.64%E -4.50%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-12 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.19%EV -12.56%E -2.70%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.94%EV -9.65%E -6.27%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -12.14%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -13.50%E -2.94%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -7.31%E -4.62%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -11.01%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -13.50%E -2.94%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -7.89%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.50%E -2.94%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -10.24%E -6.69%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 17:31
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.50%E -2.94%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -10.24%E -6.69%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.50%E -2.94%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -10.24%E -6.69%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 17:30
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.50%E -2.94%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -10.24%E -6.69%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 17:30
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.39%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -12.14%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 17:55
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -18.58%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.46%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%EV -15.52%E -4.14%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-12 17:51
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-09-12 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-09-12 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-09-12 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-09-12 17:55
Matchbook◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-09-12 17:55