L’École des cotes

Troyes v Boulogne

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 12:00 UTC

Score final : Troyes 1–0 Boulogne

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Troyes (Local)

Prévision 65.67%1.52cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -5.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.88%65.58%65.73%67.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.421.401.4875.19%70.53%71.17%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boulogne (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.79%7.25cote équitable
EV +17.19%
Avantage +2.02%
Kelly +2.29%
Croissance +0.394%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.00%13.78%13.82%15.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.756.496.508.5017.39%15.40%15.38%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.55%4.87cote équitable
EV -0.353%
Avantage -0.073%
Kelly -0.092%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.17%20.64%20.45%22.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.364.374.8526.67%22.93%22.91%20.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -9.38%E -6.80%K -24.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +17.19%E +2.02%K +2.29%G +0.394%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:10
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -10.69%E -7.86%K -29.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV +10.29%E +1.29%K +1.47%G +0.151%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -11.04%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 11:10
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.29%EV -6.10%E -4.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +3.40%E +0.453%K +0.523%G +0.018%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -12.66%E -9.52%K -38.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV +3.40%E +0.453%K +0.523%G +0.018%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.71%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 11:10
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -6.75%E -4.75%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -0.046%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:30
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 66.96%EV -6.10%E -4.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.30%EV -0.736%E -0.102%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.74%EV -0.353%E -0.073%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 10:55
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.29%EV -6.10%E -4.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -3.44%E -0.731%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 10:29
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -4.46%E -0.960%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 10:30
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.49%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.75%E -4.75%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -12.68%E -2.98%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 10:30
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%EV -6.75%E -4.75%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -13.71%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 08:00
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -10.69%E -7.86%K -29.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -1.38%E -0.288%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 11:10
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.04%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -11.65%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 10:30
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 65.38%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -12.68%E -2.98%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 10:30
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -10.69%E -7.86%K -29.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -17.82%E -4.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.74%EV -12.66%E -9.52%K -38.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.30%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.96%EV -22.95%E -6.12%K -8.35%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-18 11:10
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.45%EV -7.41%E -5.25%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.40%EV -3.63%E -0.519%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.15%EV -4.46%E -0.960%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 10:30
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -7.41%E -5.25%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -6.25%E -0.919%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -3.44%E -0.731%K -0.928%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:30
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -7.41%E -5.25%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -6.25%E -0.919%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -3.44%E -0.731%K -0.928%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:29
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.77%EV -10.04%E -7.33%K -27.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV -6.94%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.67%EV -4.46%E -0.960%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 10:26
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 08:01
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.10%E -4.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -5.49%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 10:53
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -6.75%E -4.75%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -6.52%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -6.75%E -4.75%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -6.52%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 10:29
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.49%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 10:29
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.49%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 10:28
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 10:29
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 10:29
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 10:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 10:30
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Suprabets1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -9.38%E -6.80%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 10:26
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.73%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -12.68%E -2.98%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 10:29
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.69%E -7.86%K -29.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 10:29
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -10.69%E -7.86%K -29.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 10:30
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.06%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -11.77%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 10:29
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.15%EV -7.41%E -5.25%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -17.28%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -3.44%E -0.731%K -0.928%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 10:30
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.15%EV -7.41%E -5.25%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -17.28%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -3.44%E -0.731%K -0.928%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 10:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -17.28%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.04%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:55
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -17.28%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.04%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -17.28%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.04%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -17.28%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.04%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:55
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -10.69%E -7.86%K -29.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -17.28%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.04%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-18 10:30
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:19
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:20
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:19
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:20
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:19
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:19
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:20
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:19
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:19
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:19
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:20
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:20
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -20.73%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -20.73%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 17:30
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -20.73%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.11%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.89%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00%2.1%2026-04-18 11:29