La escuela de los momios

Troyes v Boulogne

Inicio: 2026-04-18 12:00 UTC

Final: Troyes 1–0 Boulogne

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Troyes (Local)

Predicción 65.67%1.52momio equitativo
EV -2.81%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -5.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.88%65.58%65.73%67.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.421.401.4875.19%70.53%71.17%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boulogne (Visitante)

Predicción 13.79%7.25momio equitativo
EV +17.19%
Ventaja +2.02%
Kelly +2.29%
Crecimiento +0.394%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.00%13.78%13.82%15.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.756.496.508.5017.39%15.40%15.38%11.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.55%4.87momio equitativo
EV -0.353%
Ventaja -0.073%
Kelly -0.092%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.17%20.64%20.45%22.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.364.374.8526.67%22.93%22.91%20.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -9.38%E -6.80%K -24.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +17.19%E +2.02%K +2.29%G +0.394%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:10
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -10.69%E -7.86%K -29.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV +10.29%E +1.29%K +1.47%G +0.151%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -11.04%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 11:10
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.29%EV -6.10%E -4.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +3.40%E +0.453%K +0.523%G +0.018%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -12.66%E -9.52%K -38.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV +3.40%E +0.453%K +0.523%G +0.018%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.71%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 11:10
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -6.75%E -4.75%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -0.046%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:30
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 66.96%EV -6.10%E -4.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.30%EV -0.736%E -0.102%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.74%EV -0.353%E -0.073%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 10:55
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.29%EV -6.10%E -4.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -3.44%E -0.731%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 10:29
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -4.46%E -0.960%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 10:30
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.49%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.75%E -4.75%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -12.68%E -2.98%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 10:30
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%EV -6.75%E -4.75%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -13.71%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 08:00
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -10.69%E -7.86%K -29.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -1.38%E -0.288%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 11:10
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.04%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -11.65%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 10:30
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 65.38%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -12.68%E -2.98%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 10:30
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -10.69%E -7.86%K -29.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -17.82%E -4.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.74%EV -12.66%E -9.52%K -38.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.30%EV -3.49%E -0.499%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.96%EV -22.95%E -6.12%K -8.35%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-18 11:10
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.45%EV -7.41%E -5.25%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.40%EV -3.63%E -0.519%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.15%EV -4.46%E -0.960%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 10:30
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -7.41%E -5.25%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -6.25%E -0.919%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -3.44%E -0.731%K -0.928%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:30
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -7.41%E -5.25%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -6.25%E -0.919%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -3.44%E -0.731%K -0.928%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:29
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.77%EV -10.04%E -7.33%K -27.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV -6.94%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.67%EV -4.46%E -0.960%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 10:26
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 08:01
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.10%E -4.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -5.49%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 10:53
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -6.75%E -4.75%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -6.52%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -6.75%E -4.75%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -6.52%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 10:29
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.49%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 10:29
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.49%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 10:28
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 10:29
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 10:29
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 10:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 10:30
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Suprabets1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -9.38%E -6.80%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 10:26
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.73%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -12.68%E -2.98%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 10:29
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.69%E -7.86%K -29.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.54%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 10:29
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -10.69%E -7.86%K -29.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 10:30
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.06%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -11.77%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -9.60%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 10:29
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.15%EV -7.41%E -5.25%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -17.28%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -3.44%E -0.731%K -0.928%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 10:30
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.15%EV -7.41%E -5.25%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -17.28%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -3.44%E -0.731%K -0.928%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 10:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -17.28%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.04%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:55
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -17.28%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.04%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -17.28%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.04%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -17.28%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.04%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:55
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -10.69%E -7.86%K -29.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -17.28%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.04%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-18 10:30
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:19
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:20
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:19
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:20
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:19
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:19
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:20
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:19
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:19
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:19
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:20
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -20.04%E -3.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 07:20
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -20.73%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -20.73%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 17:30
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -20.73%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -15.76%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 17:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.11%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.89%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00%2.1%2026-04-18 11:29