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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Stade Lavallois v Sochaux

Início: 2026-09-18 18:00 UTC

Final: Stade Lavallois 1–1 Sochaux

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Stade Lavallois (Local)

Previsão 39.43%2.54odd justa
EV -5.37%
Vantagem -2.24%
Kelly -3.83%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.06%39.46%39.37%41.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.332.352.4045.45%42.89%42.55%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sochaux (Visitante)

Previsão 30.82%3.24odd justa
EV +1.72%
Vantagem +0.520%
Kelly +0.747%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.16%30.75%30.82%32.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.982.953.3035.71%33.56%33.90%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.75%3.36odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -0.557%
Kelly -0.800%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.55%29.79%29.81%31.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.113.103.3034.48%32.21%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Stade Lavallois (Local): 39.43%; Sochaux (Visitante): 30.82%; Empate: 29.75%. Para Sochaux (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.24. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.72%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.10%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV +1.72%E +0.520%K +0.747%G +0.013%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -6.90%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -1.84%E -0.557%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:29
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:30
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.78%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.06%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:39
Suprabets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.53%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 29.23%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.24%EV -13.44%E -4.62%K -7.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:27
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 13:25
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -8.13%E -3.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.84%E -0.557%K -0.800%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 12:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:51
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:51
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:50
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:51
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 07:44
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:50
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:51
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.33%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 14:34
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.33%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 14:40
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 13:15
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 13:17
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.79%EV -10.49%E -4.62%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 15:25
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -13.25%E -6.02%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -13.74%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-18 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:44
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 12:55
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:33
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 12:20
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 12:20
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 12:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.26%EV -8.52%E -3.67%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 13:45
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 13:49
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:29
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:30
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 14:50
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.23%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 13:45
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.23%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.23%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.54%E -4.02%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 12:55
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.54%E -4.02%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.59%EV -12.07%E -5.41%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -12.15%E -4.26%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-17 14:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 15:04
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 13:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.2%2026-09-18 15:15
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.48%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.32%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.6%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.32%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.6%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.32%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.6%2026-09-18 15:20