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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Stade Lavallois v Sochaux

Inicio: 2026-09-18 18:00 UTC

Final: Stade Lavallois 1–1 Sochaux

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Stade Lavallois (Local)

Predicción 39.43%2.54momio equitativo
EV -5.37%
Ventaja -2.24%
Kelly -3.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.06%39.46%39.37%41.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.332.352.4045.45%42.89%42.55%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sochaux (Visitante)

Predicción 30.82%3.24momio equitativo
EV +1.72%
Ventaja +0.520%
Kelly +0.747%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.16%30.75%30.82%32.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.802.982.953.3035.71%33.56%33.90%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 29.75%3.36momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.557%
Kelly -0.800%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.55%29.79%29.81%31.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.113.103.3034.48%32.21%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Stade Lavallois (Local): 39.43%; Sochaux (Visitante): 30.82%; Empate: 29.75%. Para Sochaux (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.24. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.72%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.10%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV +1.72%E +0.520%K +0.747%G +0.013%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -6.90%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -1.84%E -0.557%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:29
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:30
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.78%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.06%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:39
Suprabets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.53%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 29.23%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.24%EV -13.44%E -4.62%K -7.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:27
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 13:25
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -8.13%E -3.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.84%E -0.557%K -0.800%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 12:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:51
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:51
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:50
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:51
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 07:44
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:50
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 14:51
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.33%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 14:34
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.33%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 14:40
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 13:15
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 13:17
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.79%EV -10.49%E -4.62%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 15:25
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -13.25%E -6.02%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -13.74%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-18 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:44
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 12:55
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:33
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 12:20
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 12:20
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 12:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.26%EV -8.52%E -3.67%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 13:45
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 13:49
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:29
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:30
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 14:50
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.23%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 13:45
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.23%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.23%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.54%E -4.02%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 12:55
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.54%E -4.02%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.59%EV -12.07%E -5.41%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -12.15%E -4.26%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-17 14:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 15:04
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 13:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.2%2026-09-18 15:15
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.48%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.32%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.6%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.32%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.6%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.32%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.6%2026-09-18 15:20