Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Stade Lavallois v Sochaux

2026-09-18 18:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Stade Lavallois (Local)

Predicción 39.48%2.53momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -2.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.15%39.60%39.44%41.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.322.302.4546.51%43.14%43.48%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sochaux (Visitante)

Predicción 30.76%3.25momio equitativo
EV +3.06%
Ventaja +0.913%
Kelly +1.30%
Crecimiento +0.040%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.13%30.68%31.00%33.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.962.953.3537.04%33.79%33.90%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 29.75%3.36momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.45%29.71%29.57%30.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.103.103.2534.48%32.30%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Stade Lavallois (Local): 39.48%; Sochaux (Visitante): 30.76%; Empate: 29.75%. Para Sochaux (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.25. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.35, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.06%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.70%EV -10.37%E -4.57%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV +3.06%E +0.913%K +1.30%G +0.040%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -6.28%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 17:01
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.44%EV -11.56%E -5.16%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV +1.52%E +0.460%K +0.660%G +0.010%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -9.25%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.44%EV -11.56%E -5.16%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV +1.52%E +0.460%K +0.660%G +0.010%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -9.25%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 16:05
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -0.019%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -9.25%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 14:50
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.79%EV -9.58%E -4.18%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.56%EV -2.79%E -0.882%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.28%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.96%EV -10.37%E -4.57%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -3.10%E -0.983%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.28%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 19:45
Suprabets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -15.11%E -7.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.29%EV -3.71%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -13.72%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-14 14:54
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -4.63%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.77%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 19:01
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -15.11%E -7.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -4.63%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -8.00%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.28%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 19:40
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -8.00%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.28%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 19:40
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -8.00%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.28%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -8.00%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.28%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 19:40
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -8.00%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.28%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 19:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -8.00%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.28%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 19:40
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -8.00%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.28%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 19:41
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -8.00%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.28%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -8.00%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.28%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 19:40
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -8.00%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.28%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 19:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.77%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 15:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.19%E -3.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 15:10
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.19%E -3.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.79%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 16:46
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.19%E -3.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.79%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 16:45
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.19%E -3.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.77%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 15:30
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.77%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -9.19%E -3.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -9.25%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -9.25%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 19:40
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -9.25%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -9.25%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 19:40
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.77%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 15:47
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.86%EV -4.45%E -1.84%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 14:55
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.86%EV -4.45%E -1.84%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.19%E -3.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -4.79%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 15:15
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.19%E -3.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -4.79%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 15:10
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.19%E -3.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -4.79%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 18:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -9.25%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.80%EV -11.95%E -5.36%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 19:40
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.19%E -3.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.40%E -3.96%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -4.79%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 15:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.05%EV -6.03%E -2.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -12.32%E -4.32%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -9.19%E -3.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -12.32%E -4.32%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.93%EV -11.34%E -3.80%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 14:55
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -13.86%E -4.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 12:56
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.86%E -4.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 15:40
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.86%E -4.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 15:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.86%E -4.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.86%E -4.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -9.19%E -3.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -15.40%E -5.60%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -9.25%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 14:55
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -15.40%E -5.60%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-14 15:09
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -6.03%E -2.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -7.77%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-14 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -6.03%E -2.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -7.77%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-14 12:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -6.42%E -2.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -7.77%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 12:56
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -6.42%E -2.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -7.77%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 12:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -9.19%E -3.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-14 14:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 38.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.70%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.15%16.0%2026-09-14 14:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 30.99%1.35I 74.07%NM 30.99%1.10I 90.91%NM 38.03%139.1%2026-09-14 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 30.99%1.35I 74.07%NM 30.99%1.10I 90.91%NM 38.03%139.1%2026-09-14 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 29.97%1.35I 74.07%NM 29.97%1.01I 99.01%NM 40.06%147.2%2026-09-14 18:45