The School of Odds
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Stade Lavallois v Clermont

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 18:00 UTC

Final: Stade Lavallois 3–3 Clermont

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stade Lavallois (Local)

Prediction 43.84%2.28fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.46%43.94%43.87%46.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.082.102.1951.81%48.12%47.62%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clermont (Visit)

Prediction 27.79%3.60fair odd
EV +0.041%
Edge +0.011%
Kelly +0.016%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%27.68%27.77%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.353.6032.26%30.03%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.37%3.52fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.697%
Kelly -0.982%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%28.37%28.36%31.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.243.253.4435.71%30.89%30.77%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stade Lavallois (Local): 43.84%; Clermont (Visit): 27.79%; Draw: 28.37%. For Clermont (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.599. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.600, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.041%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -13.64%E -6.92%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV +0.041%E +0.011%K +0.016%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-16 17:29
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.95%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.96%EV -0.793%E -0.222%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.08%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-16 16:45
BetUS🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.95%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.96%EV -0.793%E -0.222%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.08%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-16 16:35
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -1.35%E -0.380%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 10:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -1.35%E -0.380%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 10:34
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -1.35%E -0.380%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 10:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -1.35%E -0.380%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 10:34
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -1.35%E -0.380%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 10:34
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -1.35%E -0.380%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 10:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -1.35%E -0.380%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 10:34
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -1.35%E -0.380%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 10:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -1.35%E -0.380%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 10:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -6.19%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-16 11:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -6.19%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-16 11:35
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.87%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 14:09
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 10:20
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 11:50
picklebet_au🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-16 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -13.64%E -6.92%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-16 11:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.68%EV -14.08%E -7.18%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-13 10:35
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -14.52%E -7.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-13 10:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -20.56%E -7.34%K -11.42%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-16 17:35
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.82%E -4.24%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.17%EV -2.40%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-16 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.17%EV -9.69%E -4.71%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.05%EV -2.40%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 17:20
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-15 10:15
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-15 10:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-16 11:38
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.56%EV -14.95%E -7.71%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-13 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.69%EV -15.39%E -7.98%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-13 10:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-16 14:10
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-15 18:04
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.82%E -4.24%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-12 12:24
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-16 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-15 10:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.82%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.39%EV -8.85%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.79%EV -11.48%E -3.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-16 17:34
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-16 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-16 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-15 10:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-15 10:15
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-16 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-16 17:50
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-16 15:15
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-16 17:53
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-16 17:55
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-16 17:15
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-16 14:09
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-16 12:40
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-16 12:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-16 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-16 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-16 14:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-16 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-16 14:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-16 14:14
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-16 10:35
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-13 18:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-16 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-10-16 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-10-16 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-10-16 17:35
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-10-16 17:30
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.77%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.97%1.5%2026-10-16 17:40