Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stade de Reims v Montpellier

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 18:00 UTC

Final: Stade de Reims 1–1 Montpellier

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stade de Reims (Local)

Prediction 42.97%2.33fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.02%43.16%42.78%53.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.752.112.102.2657.14%47.33%47.62%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montpellier (Visit)

Prediction 28.40%3.52fair odd
EV +19.27%
Edge +4.59%
Kelly +6.02%
Growth +1.16%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.20%28.37%28.42%29.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.293.304.2033.33%30.41%30.30%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.64%3.49fair odd
EV +8.82%
Edge +2.32%
Kelly +3.15%
Growth +0.278%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%28.47%28.80%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.203.8033.33%31.09%31.25%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stade de Reims (Local): 42.97%; Montpellier (Visit): 28.40%; Draw: 28.64%. For Montpellier (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -24.81%E -14.18%K -33.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV +19.27%E +4.59%K +6.02%G +1.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +8.82%E +2.32%K +3.15%G +0.278%7.3%2026-09-16 18:04
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -10.63%E -5.11%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -0.611%E -0.174%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -10.63%E -5.11%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -0.611%E -0.174%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -10.63%E -5.11%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -0.611%E -0.174%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 11:10
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -10.63%E -5.11%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -0.611%E -0.174%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 11:10
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -10.63%E -5.11%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -0.611%E -0.174%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 11:10
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -10.63%E -5.11%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -0.611%E -0.174%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 11:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -10.63%E -5.11%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -0.611%E -0.174%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 11:10
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -10.63%E -5.11%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -0.611%E -0.174%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 11:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -10.63%E -5.11%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -0.611%E -0.174%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -10.63%E -5.11%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -0.611%E -0.174%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 11:10
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.61%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.67%EV -1.18%E -0.339%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -7.22%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 15:25
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.45%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:35
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.45%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.92%E -5.81%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.45%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.02%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.87%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.02%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.87%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:05
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.02%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.87%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -14.07%E -7.03%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -4.87%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -14.07%E -7.03%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -4.87%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 11:09
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -14.07%E -7.03%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -4.87%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 11:10
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.70%EV -5.90%E -2.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:28
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.76%E -3.12%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -5.72%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV +0.225%E +0.064%K +0.090%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:30
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.64%E -0.776%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:25
Suprabets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.12%EV -13.52%E -4.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 14:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.59%EV -15.35%E -7.79%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -12.66%E -4.15%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-18 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -2.64%E -0.776%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:30
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:29
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 15:04
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:00
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 15:02
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 14:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 14:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -8.05%E -3.76%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 14:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.78%EV -8.48%E -3.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.74%EV -9.22%E -2.91%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 14:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -8.91%E -4.20%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 15:08
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -14.07%E -7.03%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -11.92%E -5.81%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 15:15
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.55%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 15:20
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.41%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%EV -11.40%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV +0.225%E +0.064%K +0.090%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:28
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.41%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%EV -11.40%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV +0.225%E +0.064%K +0.090%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:28
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 14:55
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 15:10
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 15:00
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 15:00
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -11.92%E -5.81%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-18 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-09-18 15:30