The School of Odds
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Sochaux v USL Dunkerque

2026-11-23 19:45 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sochaux (Local)

Prediction 38.16%2.62fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.35%38.17%38.16%39.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.372.382.5246.51%42.12%42.11%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

USL Dunkerque (Visit)

Prediction 33.38%3.00fair odd
EV -0.857%
Edge -0.288%
Kelly -0.435%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.96%33.42%33.38%34.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.672.652.9740.82%37.45%37.74%33.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.46%3.51fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -0.950%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.34%28.42%28.46%29.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.203.153.4032.79%31.24%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sochaux (Local): 38.16%; USL Dunkerque (Visit): 33.38%; Draw: 28.46%. For USL Dunkerque (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.97, with an expected value of -0.857%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -3.85%E -1.53%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -11.54%E -4.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-09 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -3.85%E -1.53%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -11.54%E -4.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-09 14:50
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.96%EV -0.857%E -0.288%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.50%EV -5.22%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-09 15:45
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-09 16:37
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -13.21%E -5.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.75%EV -12.34%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-09 14:49
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.41%EV -9.57%E -4.04%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.12%EV -5.86%E -2.08%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.23%E -0.950%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.57%EV -10.33%E -4.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.09%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.23%E -0.950%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-09 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.06%EV -10.33%E -4.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -16.55%E -6.62%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.8%2026-11-09 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.14%EV -12.24%E -5.32%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.86%EV -18.22%E -7.43%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.00%EV -13.19%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%17.1%2026-11-09 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.42%EV -17.96%E -8.36%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.24%EV -14.88%E -5.83%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%18.0%2026-11-09 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.