Language:English
Sochaux v Boulogne
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sochaux (Local)
Prediction 42.13%2.37fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -3.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.76%42.16%42.09%43.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.182.2748.78%46.10%45.87%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boulogne (Visit)
Prediction 28.48%3.51fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -0.928%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.91%28.46%28.54%29.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.203.4033.33%31.05%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.39%3.40fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.60%29.37%29.38%30.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.123.103.2533.90%32.07%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sochaux (Local): 42.13%; Boulogne (Visit): 28.48%; Draw: 29.39%. For Boulogne (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -3.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.72%EV -4.36%E -1.92%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.96%EV -6.86%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 10:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -5.21%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -3.15%E -0.928%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -4.50%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 21:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.21%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-22 11:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.21%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-22 11:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.21%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-22 11:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.21%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-22 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.70%EV -5.63%E -2.51%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.10%EV -8.57%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.47%E -2.91%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-26 10:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.68%EV -6.47%E -2.91%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-04 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.68%EV -6.47%E -2.91%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-04 22:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 04:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-23 21:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-25 21:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 02:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 02:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-02 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 12:22 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -4.58%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -4.58%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -4.58%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -4.58%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -4.58%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -4.58%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -4.58%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -4.58%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -4.58%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.38%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.38%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-23 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.50%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -10.38%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-23 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-02 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-02 19:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-05 04:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-02 06:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 29.44%EV -14.26%E -4.74%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.34%EV -11.26%E -3.73%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-24 01:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-03 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -10.68%E -5.04%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-22 22:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-22 22:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-04 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -3.15%E -0.928%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 17:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.38%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.38%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-04 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.38%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-04 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.57%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.50%EV -10.96%E -3.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-24 18:03 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -13.12%E -4.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -13.31%E -4.51%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-05 13:53 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.49%EV -12.37%E -5.95%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-04 21:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.63%E -6.65%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -13.12%E -4.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -10.38%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-04 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -13.63%E -6.65%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-23 11:46 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 41.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.53% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.51% | 16.8% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |