L’École des cotes

SC Bastia v Le Mans FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Bastia (Local)

Prévision 29.67%3.37cote équitable
EV -0.621%
Avantage -0.185%
Kelly -0.264%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.12%29.61%29.79%31.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.123.103.3534.48%32.10%32.26%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Le Mans FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.81%2.34cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -2.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.10%42.79%42.79%43.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.52%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.52%3.63cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -0.646%
Kelly -0.900%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.94%27.60%27.42%29.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.313.353.5534.72%30.23%29.85%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -0.621%E -0.185%K -0.264%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:50
LowVig.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -0.621%E -0.185%K -0.264%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 17:54
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 17:35
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 17:54
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 17:54
Marathon Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.19%EV -7.53%E -3.48%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -8.62%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 17:34
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.63%EV -7.10%E -3.27%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.91%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:48
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:34
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:35
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:34
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:34
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:34
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:34
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 17:34
Suprabets3.19I 31.35%NM 28.46%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.43%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.10%EV -14.13%E -4.53%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:36
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -6.55%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 13:39
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.55%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 14:30
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -6.55%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.11%EV -7.10%E -3.27%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.19%EV -5.32%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:54
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.55%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -7.53%E -3.48%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:39
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.55%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -7.53%E -3.48%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:39
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.55%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -7.53%E -3.48%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:40
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.55%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 17:49
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -7.44%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:39
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:39
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:39
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:38
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.07%EV -5.87%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:38
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 13:34
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 13:40
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 13:39
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:39
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:40
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:40
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:40
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:40
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:40
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:40
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:39
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:39
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:30
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:39
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 17:54
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 17:34
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -9.52%E -3.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 14:30
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -9.52%E -3.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 14:30
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.52%E -3.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 14:30
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -9.52%E -3.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 13:40
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -9.52%E -3.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -9.52%E -3.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 13:39
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:40
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 13:39
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 13:40
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -17.43%E -5.81%K -8.72%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-09 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.38%E -7.19%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.73%E -7.20%K -11.03%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-09 13:39
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -2.29%E -0.646%K -0.900%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:29
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -2.29%E -0.646%K -0.900%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:30
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.97%E -4.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-05-09 17:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%1.6%2026-05-09 17:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%1.6%2026-05-09 17:55
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04%2.8%2026-05-09 17:54