مدرسة الاحتمالات

SC Bastia v Le Mans FC

البداية: 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

SC Bastia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.67%3.37السعر العادل
EV -0.621%
الأفضلية -0.185%
Kelly -0.264%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.12%29.61%29.79%31.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.123.103.3534.48%32.10%32.26%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Le Mans FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.81%2.34السعر العادل
EV -3.67%
الأفضلية -1.63%
Kelly -2.94%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.10%42.79%42.79%43.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.52%46.51%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.52%3.63السعر العادل
EV -2.29%
الأفضلية -0.646%
Kelly -0.900%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.94%27.60%27.42%29.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.313.353.5534.72%30.23%29.85%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -0.621%E -0.185%K -0.264%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:50
LowVig.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -0.621%E -0.185%K -0.264%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 17:54
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 17:35
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 17:54
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 17:54
Marathon Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.19%EV -7.53%E -3.48%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -8.62%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 17:34
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.63%EV -7.10%E -3.27%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.91%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:48
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:34
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:35
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:34
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:34
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:34
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:34
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 17:34
Suprabets3.19I 31.35%NM 28.46%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.43%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.10%EV -14.13%E -4.53%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:36
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -6.55%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 13:39
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.55%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 14:30
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -6.55%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.11%EV -7.10%E -3.27%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.19%EV -5.32%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:54
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.55%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -7.53%E -3.48%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:39
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.55%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -7.53%E -3.48%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:39
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.55%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -7.53%E -3.48%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:40
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.55%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 17:49
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -7.44%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:39
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:39
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:39
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:38
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.07%EV -5.87%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:38
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 13:34
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 13:40
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 13:39
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:39
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:40
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:40
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:40
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:40
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:40
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:40
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:39
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:39
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:30
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:39
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 17:54
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 17:34
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -9.52%E -3.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 14:30
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -9.52%E -3.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 14:30
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.52%E -3.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 14:30
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -9.52%E -3.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 13:40
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -9.52%E -3.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -9.52%E -3.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 13:39
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:40
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 13:39
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 13:40
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -17.43%E -5.81%K -8.72%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-09 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.38%E -7.19%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.73%E -7.20%K -11.03%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-09 13:39
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -2.29%E -0.646%K -0.900%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:29
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -2.29%E -0.646%K -0.900%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:30
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.97%E -4.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-09 13:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-05-09 17:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%1.6%2026-05-09 17:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%1.6%2026-05-09 17:55
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04%2.8%2026-05-09 17:54