Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Bastia v Annecy FC

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 19:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Bastia (Local)

Prediction 38.69%2.58fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.15%38.56%38.68%39.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.392.402.5043.48%41.75%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Annecy FC (Visit)

Prediction 28.94%3.46fair odd
EV -0.734%
Edge -0.214%
Kelly -0.302%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.51%29.10%28.92%30.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.133.153.4334.48%31.90%31.75%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.37%3.09fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.961%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.37%32.34%32.40%33.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.852.853.0037.04%35.06%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Bastia (Local): 38.69%; Annecy FC (Visit): 28.94%; Draw: 32.37%. For Annecy FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.43, with an expected value of -0.734%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 18:59
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 18:59
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:59
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:00
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:59
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:59
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:00
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:45
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:59
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -11.73%E -3.85%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.83%EV -10.01%E -3.60%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 19:00
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -3.92%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -2.88%E -0.961%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -3.92%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -2.88%E -0.961%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 19:00
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.62%EV -5.99%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.07%EV -0.734%E -0.214%K -0.302%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -3.53%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.56%EV -5.99%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.56%EV -5.99%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.56%EV -5.99%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 18:59
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.21%EV -6.38%E -2.63%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.07%EV -2.18%E -0.645%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 18:59
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 18:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 19:00
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -3.05%E -0.910%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -5.80%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 18:59
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 18:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 18:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:00
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 18:58
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 18:59
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:59
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:59
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 19:00
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -16.07%E -5.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-27 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -16.07%E -5.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-27 18:59
Bovada🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.01%EV -8.31%E -3.51%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.10%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 18:58
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -8.31%E -3.51%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -16.07%E -5.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-27 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -8.31%E -3.51%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -16.07%E -5.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-27 19:00
BetUS🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 38.98%EV -8.70%E -3.69%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.08%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.08%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 18:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.08%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:59
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.08%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 38.78%EV -9.47%E -4.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:59
Suprabets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 39.39%EV -10.63%E -4.60%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.35%EV -7.10%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.27%EV -8.71%E -3.09%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 18:58
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.98%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 19:00
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 18:59
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.98%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-27 19:00
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-27 18:59
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-27 18:59
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.60%E -4.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-27 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%0.9%2026-02-27 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%0.9%2026-02-27 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09%1.4%2026-02-27 19:00
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09%1.4%2026-02-27 19:00
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.82%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.83%2.2%2026-02-27 18:59