Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Bastia v Amiens

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Bastia (Local)

Prediction 53.26%1.88fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.92%53.23%53.29%54.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.751.8259.88%57.07%57.14%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Amiens (Visit)

Prediction 20.47%4.89fair odd
EV +2.97%
Edge +0.590%
Kelly +0.736%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 5.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.87%20.56%20.44%22.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.384.505.0324.39%22.81%22.22%19.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.27%3.81fair odd
EV +2.47%
Edge +0.633%
Kelly +0.851%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.45%26.21%26.27%28.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.503.503.9033.33%28.54%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Bastia (Local): 53.26%; Amiens (Visit): 20.47%; Draw: 26.27%. For Amiens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.62%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.87%EV +2.97%E +0.590%K +0.736%G +0.022%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:54
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 17:43
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -5.21%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -2.76%E -0.582%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -2.76%E -0.582%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 17:35
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.27%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.66%EV -4.81%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.08%EV +0.629%E +0.164%K +0.222%G +0.001%4.1%2026-04-03 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.34%E -4.22%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV +2.47%E +0.633%K +0.851%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.34%E -4.22%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV +2.47%E +0.633%K +0.851%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.67%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -5.83%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -2.79%E -0.753%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:49
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.34%E -4.22%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.83%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 17:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.83%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -5.83%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -7.34%E -4.22%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -5.83%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.68%EV -8.83%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 17:54
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.85%EV -10.53%E -6.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -6.86%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -2.79%E -0.753%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 17:54
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.65%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -6.86%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 17:55
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.65%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -6.86%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 17:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.57%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.69%EV -0.684%E -0.181%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 17:49
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 17:55
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 17:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 17:54
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 17:49
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 17:50
Suprabets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 17:55
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 17:54
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -10.53%E -6.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 17:55
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.37%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 17:54
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 17:35
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -14.61%E -4.50%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-03 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -14.61%E -4.50%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-03 17:50
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -14.61%E -4.50%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-03 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -14.61%E -4.50%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-03 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.48%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.86%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.66%EV -21.18%E -7.06%K -10.59%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-03 17:40
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 17:49
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-03 17:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 17:45
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 17:45
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 17:45
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 17:45
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 17:45
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.49%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -2.79%E -0.753%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 17:38
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.14%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.14%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.14%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.40%E -4.88%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.40%E -4.88%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -16.07%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-03 17:55
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%1.3%2026-04-03 17:55
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.68%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-04-03 17:55