L’École des cotes

Saint Etienne v Troyes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Saint Etienne (Local)

Prévision 48.13%2.08cote équitable
EV -3.75%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -3.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.19%48.05%48.10%49.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.921.942.0055.56%51.98%51.55%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Troyes (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.42%3.78cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.387%
Kelly -0.529%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.41%26.42%26.46%27.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.453.403.7331.25%29.02%29.41%26.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.45%3.93cote équitable
EV -4.56%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.96%25.53%25.44%27.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.543.503.7532.26%28.29%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.56%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 18:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 18:25
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -4.71%E -2.38%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:10
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -5.67%E -2.89%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -11.48%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 18:10
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -5.67%E -2.89%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -11.48%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.88%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.56%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 18:04
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 10:45
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 17:24
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:13
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:45
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:45
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:45
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:45
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 15:14
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 18:25
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:25
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:24
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.48%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 18:10
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.11%EV -7.12%E -3.69%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.41%EV -1.44%E -0.387%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.48%EV -5.32%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 13:29
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.12%E -3.69%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 07:03
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.88%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.34%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:02
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 08:00
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 08:01
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -3.56%E -0.974%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:09
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 09:45
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 11:04
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 17:25
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -15.45%E -4.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -21.10%E -6.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 17:25
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.56%E -4.51%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.88%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 13:24
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.56%E -4.51%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.88%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 13:29
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -8.56%E -4.51%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.65%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 08:01
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -9.04%E -4.78%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -3.29%E -0.900%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:09
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.52%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -4.88%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 13:26
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.52%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -4.88%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 13:29
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.52%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.10%E -1.95%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.52%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.10%E -1.95%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -9.52%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 16:10
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -9.52%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -10.00%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.88%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 22:15
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -10.00%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 09:45
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 09:44
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 09:45
Suprabets1.83I 54.64%NM 48.38%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 25.96%EV -13.21%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 48.34%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-24 03:03
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -13.37%E -7.43%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-21 07:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%2.1%2026-04-23 22:05
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%4.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%4.7%2026-04-23 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%4.7%2026-04-23 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%4.7%2026-04-23 23:55