La escuela de los momios

Saint Etienne v Troyes

Inicio: 2026-04-25 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Saint Etienne (Local)

Predicción 48.13%2.08momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -3.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.19%48.05%48.10%49.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.921.942.0055.56%51.98%51.55%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Troyes (Visitante)

Predicción 26.42%3.78momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.387%
Kelly -0.529%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.41%26.42%26.46%27.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.453.403.7331.25%29.02%29.41%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.45%3.93momio equitativo
EV -4.56%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.96%25.53%25.44%27.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.503.7532.26%28.29%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.56%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 18:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 18:25
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -4.71%E -2.38%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:10
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -5.19%E -2.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -5.67%E -2.89%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -11.48%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 18:10
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -5.67%E -2.89%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -11.48%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.88%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.56%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 18:04
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 10:45
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 17:24
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:13
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:45
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:45
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:45
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:45
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 15:14
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 18:25
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:25
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:24
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.48%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 18:10
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.11%EV -7.12%E -3.69%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.41%EV -1.44%E -0.387%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.48%EV -5.32%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 13:29
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.12%E -3.69%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 07:03
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.88%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.34%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:02
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 08:00
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 08:01
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -3.56%E -0.974%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:09
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 09:45
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 11:04
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 17:25
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -15.45%E -4.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -21.10%E -6.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 17:25
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.56%E -4.51%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.88%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 13:24
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.56%E -4.51%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.88%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 13:29
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -8.56%E -4.51%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.65%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 08:01
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -9.04%E -4.78%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -3.29%E -0.900%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:09
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.52%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -4.88%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 13:26
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.52%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -4.88%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 13:29
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.52%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.10%E -1.95%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.52%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.10%E -1.95%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -9.52%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 16:10
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -9.52%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -10.00%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.88%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 22:15
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -10.00%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.38%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 09:45
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 09:44
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 09:45
Suprabets1.83I 54.64%NM 48.38%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 25.96%EV -13.21%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 48.34%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-24 03:03
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -13.37%E -7.43%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-21 07:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%2.1%2026-04-23 22:05
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%4.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%4.7%2026-04-23 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%4.7%2026-04-23 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%4.7%2026-04-23 23:55