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Saint Etienne v Stade Lavallois

2026-11-07 19:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Etienne (Local)

Prediction 70.16%1.43fair odd
EV -5.28%
Edge -3.91%
Kelly -15.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.60%70.05%70.10%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.311.321.3581.30%76.37%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stade Lavallois (Visit)

Prediction 11.56%8.65fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -0.334%
Kelly -0.379%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.21%11.66%11.56%13.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.607.638.4116.00%13.16%13.11%11.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.28%5.47fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -0.729%
Kelly -0.900%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.66%18.29%18.34%19.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.904.855.2621.74%20.39%20.62%19.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Saint Etienne (Local): 70.16%; Stade Lavallois (Visit): 11.56%; Draw: 18.28%. For Stade Lavallois (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.65. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 8.41, with an expected value of -2.81%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -5.28%E -3.91%K -15.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -7.55%E -0.944%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.59%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 20:10
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -5.28%E -3.91%K -15.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -13.33%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -13.16%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 22:25
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.87%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000%8.41I 11.89%NM 11.21%EV -2.81%E -0.334%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.92%EV -3.83%E -0.729%K -0.900%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.55%E -0.944%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.59%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 20:10
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -13.33%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -13.16%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -13.33%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -13.16%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -13.33%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -13.16%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 22:25
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.75%EV -7.39%E -5.60%K -23.09%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.46%EV -5.82%E -0.714%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -4.01%E -0.765%K -0.945%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 22:25
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -7.39%E -5.60%K -23.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.55%E -0.944%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -8.59%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 20:10
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.64%EV -7.39%E -5.60%K -23.09%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.79%EV -9.86%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.57%EV -9.50%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.96%EV -8.09%E -6.18%K -26.10%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -5.24%E -0.639%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -4.01%E -0.765%K -0.945%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 22:25
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.76%EV -8.09%E -6.18%K -26.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -7.55%E -0.944%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -4.01%E -0.765%K -0.945%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 20:30
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -8.79%E -6.76%K -29.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -13.33%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -15.90%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.12%EV -9.49%E -7.36%K -32.73%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.30%EV -16.22%E -2.24%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.58%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-31 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.33%EV -10.19%E -7.96%K -36.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -24.88%E -3.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.22%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-31 20:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.27%EV -10.90%E -8.58%K -40.36%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.52%EV -10.44%E -1.35%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -10.41%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-01 00:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 67.60%EV -10.90%E -8.58%K -40.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.74%EV -27.77%E -4.44%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.66%EV -15.90%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-31 20:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 69.29%EV -13.70%E -11.14%K -59.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.18%EV -19.11%E -2.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.53%EV -15.90%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%17.3%2026-10-31 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 67.52%6.60I 15.15%NM 12.99%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.49%16.6%2026-10-31 20:45