Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.39
assuming max odds 8.11
assuming max odds 5.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saint Etienne (Local): 68.61%; Rodez AF (Visit): 12.75%; Draw: 18.64%. For Rodez AF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.84. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.41%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.89%EV -4.64%E -3.34%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.11I 12.33%NM 11.81%EV +3.41%E +0.420%K +0.480%G +0.016% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.31%EV -7.54%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV +2.01%E +0.251%K +0.287%G +0.006% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +2.53%E +0.460%K +0.562%G +0.014% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +2.01%E +0.251%K +0.287%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.07%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +2.01%E +0.251%K +0.287%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 17:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.60%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -0.543%E -0.070%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -10.52%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.60%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -0.543%E -0.070%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -10.52%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -10.81%E -8.32%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -0.543%E -0.070%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -3.06%E -0.589%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -9.44%E -7.15%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.98%EV -1.18%E -0.152%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.13%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.46%EV -9.44%E -7.15%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.83%EV -1.18%E -0.152%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.01%E -4.39%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -4.37%E -0.582%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -4.37%E -0.582%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -11.45%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 17:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.37%E -0.582%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -2.13%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.37%E -0.582%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -2.13%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 17:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.37%E -0.582%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -11.45%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.37%E -0.582%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -11.45%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.37%E -0.582%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -11.45%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.37%E -0.582%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -11.45%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -4.37%E -0.582%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -4.37%E -0.582%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.81%E -8.32%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -4.37%E -0.582%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.45%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.81%E -8.32%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -4.37%E -0.582%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.45%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.60%EV -8.07%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 7.38I 13.55%NM 12.64%EV -5.90%E -0.799%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -2.13%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.73%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.61%EV -7.56%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.73%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.61%EV -7.56%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.66%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.50%EV -7.56%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -18.91%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.01%E -4.39%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -2.13%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.45%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-10 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.25%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.25%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.25%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.25%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.36%EV -10.12%E -7.73%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -11.45%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-10 15:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -11.50%E -8.91%K -39.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.81%E -8.32%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -10.74%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -11.45%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-10 17:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.97%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -13.29%E -1.96%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.54%EV -7.72%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.97%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -13.29%E -1.96%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.54%EV -7.72%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.42%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -13.29%E -1.96%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.40%EV -8.07%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.38%EV -13.93%E -2.06%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -12.38%E -2.63%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.68%EV -15.84%E -2.40%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.08%EV -8.07%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -17.12%E -2.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -4.93%E -0.966%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.08%EV -8.07%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -17.12%E -2.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -4.93%E -0.966%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -10.81%E -8.32%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -17.12%E -2.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.45%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-10 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.47%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.02%EV -18.39%E -2.87%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.51%EV -14.25%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.47%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.02%EV -18.39%E -2.87%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.51%EV -14.25%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.35%EV -8.07%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.89%EV -18.39%E -2.87%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.35%EV -8.07%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.89%EV -18.39%E -2.87%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.79%EV -9.44%E -7.15%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -23.49%E -3.92%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.74%EV -17.98%E -4.09%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |