Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Etienne v Rodez AF

2026-10-10 18:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Etienne (Local)

Prediction 66.45%1.50fair odd
EV -5.64%
Edge -3.97%
Kelly -13.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.54%66.70%66.51%70.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.341.331.4279.37%74.35%74.91%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rodez AF (Visit)

Prediction 14.50%6.89fair odd
EV +16.04%
Edge +2.00%
Kelly +2.29%
Growth +0.367%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.46%14.27%14.58%15.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.506.408.0018.18%15.37%15.63%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.04%5.25fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.563%
Kelly -0.701%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.81%19.02%18.92%19.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.454.754.605.1022.47%21.04%21.74%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Saint Etienne (Local): 66.45%; Rodez AF (Visit): 14.50%; Draw: 19.04%. For Rodez AF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.89. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.00, producing a positive expected value of +16.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.01%EV -12.95%E -9.89%K -41.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV +16.04%E +2.00%K +2.29%G +0.367%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.53%EV -5.73%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-22 09:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.46%EV -12.95%E -9.89%K -41.77%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.97%EV +10.23%E +1.35%K +1.55%G +0.159%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -6.68%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-22 12:49
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -11.62%E -8.74%K -35.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV +1.53%E +0.219%K +0.255%G +0.004%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -2.87%E -0.563%K -0.701%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 09:24
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -11.62%E -8.74%K -35.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV +1.53%E +0.219%K +0.255%G +0.004%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -2.87%E -0.563%K -0.701%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 09:27
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 68.49%EV -16.27%E -12.91%K -62.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.33%EV +1.53%E +0.219%K +0.255%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.18%EV -14.30%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-22 09:28
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -7.63%E -5.49%K -19.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.72%E -0.880%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.79%EV -5.73%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 09:33
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -13.61%E -10.47%K -45.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -5.72%E -0.880%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -4.78%E -0.955%K -1.19%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-22 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 67.96%EV -15.61%E -12.29%K -57.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.28%EV -5.72%E -0.880%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.76%EV -12.40%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-22 09:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.16%EV -13.61%E -10.47%K -45.38%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.86%EV -8.62%E -1.37%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.98%EV -12.40%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-22 12:49
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.17%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.43%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 14.96%EV -8.91%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.87%EV -5.16%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-22 12:14
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.97%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.40%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-22 12:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.97%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.40%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-22 12:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.97%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.40%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-22 12:29
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.97%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.40%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-22 13:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.43%EV -10.96%E -8.18%K -32.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.86%EV -14.42%E -2.44%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.70%EV -15.25%E -3.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-22 09:30
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -20.22%E -3.68%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -14.30%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-22 09:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.