La escuela de los momios

Saint Etienne v Red Star

Inicio: 2026-03-07 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Saint Etienne (Local)

Predicción 53.77%1.86momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -4.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.12%53.67%53.77%54.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.741.731.7961.73%57.51%57.80%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Red Star (Visitante)

Predicción 20.80%4.81momio equitativo
EV +1.06%
Ventaja +0.219%
Kelly +0.276%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.70%20.89%20.81%23.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.284.304.8625.32%23.35%23.26%20.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.43%3.93momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -0.885%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.28%25.44%25.43%27.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.583.603.8032.26%27.91%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.41%EV -5.36%E -3.04%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.70%EV +1.06%E +0.219%K +0.276%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 18:49
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.80%EV +0.856%E +0.177%K +0.222%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 18:44
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.80%EV +0.856%E +0.177%K +0.222%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 18:45
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.10%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.34%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 18:34
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.34%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 18:55
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.37%EV -7.51%E -4.37%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.55%EV -5.38%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.07%EV -5.14%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 18:44
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.51%E -4.37%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.48%EV -5.38%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -6.41%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 18:44
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 53.84%EV -8.05%E -4.71%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -5.38%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.93%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 18:44
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.63%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 08:55
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.05%E -4.71%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 18:44
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:34
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:30
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:30
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:34
Suprabets1.70I 58.82%NM 53.54%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.23%EV -11.75%E -3.39%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 18:34
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -12.26%E -3.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 18:35
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.83%EV -7.51%E -4.37%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.46%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 09:04
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.83%EV -7.51%E -4.37%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.46%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 08:54
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.31%EV -5.36%E -3.04%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 18:39
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 18:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -3.36%E -0.885%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 18:34
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 18:45
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -8.05%E -4.71%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:39
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -9.96%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:54
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.19%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -10.58%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 18:55
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -10.58%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 18:44
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -10.58%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.36%E -0.885%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 08:54
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -10.58%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.36%E -0.885%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 08:54
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -10.58%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 08:55
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -7.51%E -4.37%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -10.58%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.62%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 18:54
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -12.66%E -3.01%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 18:54
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -7.51%E -4.37%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.66%E -3.01%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 18:40
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.66%E -3.01%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 18:39
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -12.89%E -7.95%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -12.66%E -3.01%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-07 08:49
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -3.75%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 10:49
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -3.75%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 10:49
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -3.75%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 10:50
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -3.75%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 10:50
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -3.75%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 10:49
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -3.75%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 10:50
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -3.75%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 10:50
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -3.75%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 10:49
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -3.75%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 10:50
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -3.75%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 10:50
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -3.75%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 10:50
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 18:44
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 18:45
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -10.20%E -6.11%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -21.16%E -6.83%K -10.08%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-07 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.86%E -4.52%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.86%E -4.52%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 18:40
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.86%E -4.52%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 18:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-07 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-07 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-07 18:49
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-07 18:50
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.68%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-03-07 18:40