The School of Odds
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Saint Etienne v Nantes

2026-10-24 18:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Etienne (Local)

Prediction 50.52%1.98fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -6.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.25%50.42%50.60%51.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.811.821.8759.88%55.28%54.95%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nantes (Visit)

Prediction 23.46%4.26fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.76%23.58%23.43%24.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.823.844.0728.57%26.17%26.04%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.02%3.84fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -0.863%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.00%25.97%26.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.483.7230.30%28.49%28.78%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Saint Etienne (Local): 50.52%; Nantes (Visit): 23.46%; Draw: 26.02%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.72, with an expected value of -3.21%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.78%EV -6.03%E -3.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.21%EV -4.52%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.02%EV -5.55%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 18:45
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 19:45
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 19:45
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.79%EV -7.04%E -3.82%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.09%EV -8.98%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.12%EV -3.21%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 19:25
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 22:42
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -8.05%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.01%EV -3.21%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 19:45
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -8.05%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.29%EV -8.05%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -7.34%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 18:50
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.29%EV -8.05%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -7.34%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 18:49
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.03%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 18:50
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.77%EV -11.08%E -6.30%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.33%EV -10.15%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 18:49
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.25%EV -11.58%E -6.62%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -17.90%E -5.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -14.14%E -4.28%K -6.15%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-17 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.48%EV -12.09%E -6.95%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -14.38%E -3.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-17 19:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.24%EV -13.10%E -7.62%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.34%EV -16.72%E -4.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-17 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.80%EV -15.63%E -9.36%K -23.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-17 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 49.68%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%16.4%2026-10-17 19:00