The School of Odds
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Saint Etienne v Nantes

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 18:45 UTC

Final: Saint Etienne 1–0 Nantes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Etienne (Local)

Prediction 53.19%1.88fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.11%53.34%53.16%56.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.721.731.8362.50%58.11%57.80%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nantes (Visit)

Prediction 21.60%4.63fair odd
EV +2.59%
Edge +0.545%
Kelly +0.690%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.02%21.53%21.61%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.984.264.204.7525.13%23.49%23.81%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.21%3.97fair odd
EV +0.846%
Edge +0.212%
Kelly +0.282%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.84%25.14%25.23%26.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.643.604.0030.30%27.46%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saint Etienne (Local): 53.19%; Nantes (Visit): 21.60%; Draw: 25.21%. For Nantes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -9.58%E -5.63%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV +2.59%E +0.545%K +0.690%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +0.846%E +0.212%K +0.282%G +0.002%4.9%2026-10-24 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -10.64%E -6.33%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -0.650%E -0.141%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -1.67%E -0.429%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.96%EV -3.72%E -2.06%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.21%EV -2.38%E -0.526%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.84%EV -6.46%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.85%E -3.31%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -2.81%E -0.624%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.85%E -3.31%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -2.81%E -0.624%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -10.11%E -5.98%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.81%E -0.624%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -13.83%E -8.54%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -2.81%E -0.624%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-24 18:15
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.55%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.46%EV -3.24%E -0.724%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.26%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 18:31
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.85%E -3.31%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 18:39
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.51%E -4.95%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.51%E -4.95%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 14:43
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.51%E -4.95%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 14:43
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.51%E -4.95%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 14:44
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.51%E -4.95%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 14:43
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.51%E -4.95%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 14:43
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.51%E -4.95%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 14:43
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.51%E -4.95%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 14:43
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.51%E -4.95%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 14:43
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -7.98%E -4.61%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.03%EV -6.21%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 18:15
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.40%EV -5.62%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.14%EV -6.21%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.42%EV -7.45%E -4.28%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -6.48%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 18:25
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -6.48%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 18:32
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -13.83%E -8.54%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -6.48%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-24 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -5.85%E -3.31%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.82%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 18:35
picklebet_au🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 18:35
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.45%E -4.28%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 18:24
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 18:25
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.58%E -5.63%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.98%E -4.61%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.98%E -4.61%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -11.17%E -6.69%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 04:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.87%EV -11.70%E -7.05%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-23 14:43
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.87%EV -11.70%E -7.05%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-23 14:43
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.98%EV -12.77%E -7.78%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-23 14:43
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.98%EV -12.77%E -7.78%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-23 15:06
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.98%EV -12.77%E -7.78%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-23 14:43
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 18:35
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 18:35
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 18:39
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.48%EV -10.64%E -6.33%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.81%EV -9.58%E -5.63%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -7.45%E -4.28%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 18:35
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -7.98%E -4.61%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -7.98%E -4.61%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 18:25
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -7.98%E -4.61%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -7.98%E -4.61%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -7.98%E -4.61%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -16.80%E -5.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-24 18:38
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -13.83%E -8.54%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-24 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.22%EV -14.89%E -9.31%K -24.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.10%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-24 18:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.47%EV -9.58%E -5.63%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.41%EV -14.04%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-10-24 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-10-24 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-10-24 18:40
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-10-24 18:40
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-10-24 18:40

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