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Saint Etienne v Grenoble

2026-08-22 18:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Etienne (Local)

Prediction 67.17%1.49fair odd
EV -5.97%
Edge -4.26%
Kelly -14.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.01%67.21%67.24%68.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.62%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grenoble (Visit)

Prediction 12.97%7.71fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -0.366%
Kelly -0.423%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.36%12.97%13.02%14.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.997.007.5016.67%14.31%14.29%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.87%5.03fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -0.543%
Kelly -0.682%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.57%19.83%19.74%20.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.584.504.9023.81%21.81%22.22%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Saint Etienne (Local): 67.17%; Grenoble (Visit): 12.97%; Draw: 19.87%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.03. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.90, with an expected value of -2.66%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.97%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 19:29
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -6.64%E -4.77%K -17.02%G +0.000%7.41I 13.50%NM 12.70%EV -3.91%E -0.528%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.57%EV -4.45%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 00:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -7.31%E -5.30%K -19.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.75%E -0.366%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.64%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 19:35
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.31%E -5.30%K -19.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -6.63%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 20:09
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.43%EV -7.31%E -5.30%K -19.23%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -6.64%E -0.922%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -12.59%E -2.86%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 19:29
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.43%EV -7.31%E -5.30%K -19.23%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -6.64%E -0.922%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -12.59%E -2.86%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 19:29
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.24%EV -7.98%E -5.83%K -21.57%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 12.68%EV -4.43%E -0.601%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.66%E -0.543%K -0.682%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 01:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.35%EV -7.98%E -5.83%K -21.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -12.59%E -2.86%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 19:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.14%EV -7.98%E -5.83%K -21.57%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.73%EV -14.42%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 19:33
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.43%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.58%EV -4.04%E -0.546%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -2.66%E -0.543%K -0.682%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 00:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.75%E -0.366%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.64%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 19:35
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -5.64%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 19:39
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.62%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 19:35
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 19:30
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 19:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.28%EV -10.00%E -7.46%K -29.40%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.06%EV -11.82%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -14.58%E -3.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 19:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.53%EV -10.00%E -7.46%K -29.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -18.96%E -3.03%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -14.58%E -3.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-15 19:30
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.73%EV -10.67%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.61%EV -5.99%E -0.826%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -2.66%E -0.543%K -0.682%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -10.67%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -2.66%E -0.543%K -0.682%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 19:34
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.79%EV -10.67%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.00%EV -18.96%E -3.03%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -13.98%E -3.23%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-15 19:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.01%EV -10.67%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -22.20%E -3.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -16.57%E -3.94%K -5.18%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-15 19:29
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -12.68%E -9.76%K -42.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -5.64%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 19:51
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.32I 75.76%NM 64.52%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.29%17.4%2026-08-15 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-15 19:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-15 19:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-15 20:00

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