Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Etienne v Annecy FC

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 19:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Etienne (Local)

Prediction 54.80%1.82fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -5.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.61%54.89%54.59%56.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.671.7563.69%60.14%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Annecy FC (Visit)

Prediction 20.15%4.96fair odd
EV +5.77%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.078%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.28%20.06%20.34%21.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.594.505.2523.81%21.80%22.22%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.05%3.99fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.787%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.11%25.05%25.07%26.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.633.603.8730.77%27.52%27.78%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saint Etienne (Local): 54.80%; Annecy FC (Visit): 20.15%; Draw: 25.05%. For Annecy FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.46%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV +5.77%E +1.10%K +1.36%G +0.078%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.46%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV +5.77%E +1.10%K +1.36%G +0.078%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.76%EV -7.39%E -4.37%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.45%EV +4.76%E +0.916%K +1.13%G +0.054%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.79%EV -3.05%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.732%E +0.146%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.55%E -0.921%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:58
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -9.58%E -5.81%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV +0.732%E +0.146%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -10.13%E -6.17%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV +0.732%E +0.146%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -9.58%E -5.81%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -1.28%E -0.262%K -0.329%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 18:59
Suprabets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.39%EV -11.77%E -7.31%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -1.28%E -0.262%K -0.329%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.08%EV -9.31%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 18:57
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.44%EV -9.03%E -5.44%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.16%EV -1.48%E -0.304%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.40%EV -3.80%E -0.989%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 18:59
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -9.58%E -5.81%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -2.29%E -0.472%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 19:00
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -9.58%E -5.81%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -2.29%E -0.472%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 18:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -7.93%E -4.72%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.30%E -0.687%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -7.93%E -4.72%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.30%E -0.687%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 18:59
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -8.48%E -5.08%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.30%E -0.906%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -8.48%E -5.08%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -4.30%E -0.906%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 18:59
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -9.58%E -5.81%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -4.30%E -0.906%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 18:59
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -8.48%E -5.08%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -4.30%E -0.906%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -11.77%E -7.31%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -4.30%E -0.906%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -6.05%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 18:59
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -11.22%E -6.93%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -4.30%E -0.906%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 18:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.02%EV -10.13%E -6.17%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 19:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -9.58%E -5.81%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.56%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 18:59
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -8.48%E -5.08%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -8.48%E -5.08%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -8.48%E -5.08%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.05%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 19:00
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.56%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.56%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 18:52
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.56%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 19:00
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.56%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -9.58%E -5.81%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.39%E -4.37%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.48%E -5.08%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 19:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.48%E -5.08%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.48%E -5.08%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 19:00
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.48%E -5.08%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.48%E -5.08%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 19:00
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.58%E -5.81%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 18:59
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -11.22%E -6.93%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -6.05%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 19:00
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -11.22%E -6.93%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -13.96%E -8.89%K -24.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -18.58%E -5.72%K -8.26%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 18:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.93%E -4.72%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -7.93%E -4.72%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.06%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.50%EV -10.13%E -6.17%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -11.06%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 19:00
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.50%EV -10.13%E -6.17%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -11.06%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.21%EV -11.22%E -6.93%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-21 19:00
LeoVegas🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.34%EV -10.67%E -6.55%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.36%EV -12.36%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-21 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.49%EV -11.22%E -6.93%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.29%EV -12.36%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-21 19:00
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -8.48%E -5.08%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 19:00
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -9.58%E -5.81%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 18:59
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -9.58%E -5.81%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -9.58%E -5.81%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 18:59
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.22%E -6.93%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-21 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.22%E -6.93%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-21 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.62%EV -5.74%E -3.34%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -13.37%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -5.74%E -3.34%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -15.39%E -3.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 19:00
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -5.74%E -3.34%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -15.39%E -3.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 53.85%EV -11.77%E -7.31%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.64%EV -15.39%E -3.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-21 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-03-21 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-03-21 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-03-21 19:00
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-03-21 18:59
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%6.2%2026-03-21 19:00