Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rodez AF v Troyes

Kickoff: 2026-04-13 18:45 UTC

Final: Rodez AF 2–1 Troyes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rodez AF (Local)

Prediction 28.28%3.54fair odd
EV -0.171%
Edge -0.048%
Kelly -0.067%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.21%28.20%28.22%29.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.253.5333.33%30.76%30.77%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Troyes (Visit)

Prediction 45.15%2.22fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.57%45.08%45.18%47.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.032.042.1254.64%49.18%49.02%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.57%3.76fair odd
EV -0.346%
Edge -0.092%
Kelly -0.126%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.48%26.72%26.60%29.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.423.403.7532.26%29.21%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rodez AF (Local): 28.28%; Troyes (Visit): 45.15%; Draw: 26.57%. For Rodez AF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.53, with an expected value of -0.171%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betclic (FR)🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 26.21%EV -0.171%E -0.048%K -0.067%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.70%EV -6.55%E -3.16%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.09%EV -15.49%E -4.87%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 18:17
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -1.02%E -0.291%K -0.408%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -9.71%E -4.85%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -3.00%E -0.823%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 18:20
Pinnacle🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 28.03%EV -3.00%E -0.874%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.56%EV -4.74%E -2.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.41%EV -3.27%E -0.898%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 18:40
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.01%EV -6.10%E -2.93%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -16.29%E -5.17%K -7.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 09:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.01%EV -6.10%E -2.93%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -16.29%E -5.17%K -7.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 09:45
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -9.71%E -4.85%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -9.71%E -4.85%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -5.54%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.91%EV -8.35%E -4.12%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 18:20
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 17:54
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 18:14
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.55%EV -8.35%E -4.12%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.71%E -4.85%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 18:15
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.71%E -4.85%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-13 18:30
Suprabets🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 27.76%EV -7.52%E -2.30%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.62%EV -10.16%E -5.11%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.62%EV -9.38%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-13 18:17
1xBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.08%EV -7.81%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.15%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.77%EV -2.21%E -0.600%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 18:35
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.09%EV -4.29%E -2.02%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -0.346%E -0.092%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 18:19
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -7.90%E -3.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 18:40
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.90%E -3.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 08:20
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.90%E -3.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 08:19
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.90%E -3.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 08:20
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.90%E -3.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 08:19
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.90%E -3.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 08:19
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.90%E -3.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 08:20
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.90%E -3.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.90%E -3.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.90%E -3.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 08:20
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.90%E -3.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 08:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.90%E -3.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 08:19
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.90%E -3.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 08:19
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 18:20
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 18:19
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.71%E -4.85%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-13 18:30
Everygame🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.71%E -4.85%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-13 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 14:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 14:25
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 18:09
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 18:19
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.71%E -4.85%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-13 15:09
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-13 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -8.81%E -4.36%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -8.81%E -4.36%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 08:19
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -8.81%E -4.36%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 08:20
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.71%E -4.85%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-13 18:30
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.71%E -4.85%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-13 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.71%E -4.85%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-13 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.71%E -4.85%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-13 18:14
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.71%E -4.85%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-13 18:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -8.81%E -4.36%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-13 18:10
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -8.81%E -4.36%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-13 18:20
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 18:20
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 18:20
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.07%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.86%EV -17.38%E -9.50%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.07%EV -17.62%E -5.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-13 18:30
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -13.77%E -7.21%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-13 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-04-13 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-04-13 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-04-13 18:30
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-04-13 18:35
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.85%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-04-13 18:20