Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rodez AF v Stade Lavallois

Início: 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC

Final: Rodez AF 3–1 Stade Lavallois

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rodez AF (Local)

Previsão 44.83%2.23odd justa
EV -3.61%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -3.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.03%44.90%44.86%47.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.872.022.052.1553.48%49.40%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stade Lavallois (Visitante)

Previsão 27.85%3.59odd justa
EV +1.65%
Vantagem +0.452%
Kelly +0.622%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.28%27.75%27.90%28.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.393.333.6532.26%29.54%30.03%27.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.32%3.66odd justa
EV -2.74%
Vantagem -0.770%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.54%27.35%27.24%28.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.363.403.5631.25%29.79%29.41%28.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rodez AF (Local): 44.83%; Stade Lavallois (Visitante): 27.85%; Empate: 27.32%. Para Stade Lavallois (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.59. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.65, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.65%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -12.58%E -6.45%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 09:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 09:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 16:59
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 09:55
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 09:55
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 09:50
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 09:55
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:34
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -15.72%E -8.36%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.40%EV -16.16%E -8.64%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.40%EV -16.16%E -8.64%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.40%EV -16.16%E -8.64%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:50
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.72%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.28%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -2.74%E -0.770%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -7.65%E -3.71%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -6.57%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:29
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:50
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.87%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -7.66%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:35
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:35
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 18:38
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.82%EV -7.26%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:29
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 18:34
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:35
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:33
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 18:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:34
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:34
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:35
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:29
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 18:30
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 18:29
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 18:34
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:29
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -7.65%E -3.71%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 18:35
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-07 18:50
Suprabets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.88%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.29%EV -9.03%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:32
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.88%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 18:34
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 18:35
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 18:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07%1.8%2026-08-08 18:40
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-08-08 18:40