Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Rodez AF v Stade Lavallois

Inicio: 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC

Final: Rodez AF 3–1 Stade Lavallois

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Rodez AF (Local)

Predicción 44.83%2.23momio equitativo
EV -3.61%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -3.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.03%44.90%44.86%47.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.872.022.052.1553.48%49.40%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stade Lavallois (Visitante)

Predicción 27.85%3.59momio equitativo
EV +1.65%
Ventaja +0.452%
Kelly +0.622%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.28%27.75%27.90%28.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.393.333.6532.26%29.54%30.03%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.32%3.66momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -0.770%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.54%27.35%27.24%28.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.363.403.5631.25%29.79%29.41%28.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rodez AF (Local): 44.83%; Stade Lavallois (Visitante): 27.85%; Empate: 27.32%. Para Stade Lavallois (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.59. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.65, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.65%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -12.58%E -6.45%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 09:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 09:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 16:59
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 09:55
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 09:55
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 09:50
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -13.03%E -6.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +1.65%E +0.452%K +0.622%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 09:55
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:34
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -15.72%E -8.36%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.40%EV -16.16%E -8.64%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.40%EV -16.16%E -8.64%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.40%EV -16.16%E -8.64%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:50
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.72%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.28%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -2.74%E -0.770%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -7.65%E -3.71%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -6.57%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:29
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:50
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.87%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -7.66%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:35
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:35
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 18:38
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.82%EV -7.26%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:29
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 18:34
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:35
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:33
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 18:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:34
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:34
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:35
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:29
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 18:30
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 18:29
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 18:34
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:29
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -7.65%E -3.71%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 18:35
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-07 18:50
Suprabets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.88%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.29%EV -9.03%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:32
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.88%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 18:34
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 18:35
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 18:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07%1.8%2026-08-08 18:40
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-08-08 18:40