Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rodez AF v SC Bastia

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 19:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rodez AF (Local)

Prediction 38.67%2.59fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.41%38.66%38.64%40.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.332.5044.44%42.62%42.92%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Bastia (Visit)

Prediction 31.02%3.22fair odd
EV +0.190%
Edge +0.059%
Kelly +0.085%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.27%31.13%31.08%33.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.942.903.2337.74%34.05%34.48%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.31%3.30fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.658%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.05%30.21%30.29%31.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.053.2535.71%32.98%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rodez AF (Local): 38.67%; SC Bastia (Visit): 31.02%; Draw: 30.31%. For SC Bastia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.190%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -5.65%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%EV +0.190%E +0.059%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 18:59
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.07%EV -8.36%E -3.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -0.740%E -0.231%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.25%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.65%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.11%EV -1.98%E -0.627%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.89%EV -6.63%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.65%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.11%EV -1.98%E -0.627%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.89%EV -6.63%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.13%E -3.89%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.29%E -0.727%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:59
BetUS🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -10.29%E -4.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -3.22%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 18:58
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -11.06%E -4.81%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.00%E -0.936%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 18:59
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.13%E -3.89%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 18:59
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.13%E -3.89%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.13%E -3.89%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 18:59
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.06%E -4.81%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -9.13%E -3.89%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -4.46%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -6.03%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 18:59
Suprabets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 39.36%EV -10.68%E -4.62%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.61%EV -4.77%E -1.55%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.03%EV -11.18%E -3.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 18:59
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -11.06%E -4.81%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-20 18:59
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -7.20%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -5.42%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.20%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 18:59
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.97%E -3.35%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.97%E -3.35%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 18:59
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.13%E -3.89%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 18:59
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.13%E -3.89%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -13.61%E -4.77%K -7.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-20 19:00
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.06%E -4.81%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-20 19:00
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.06%E -4.81%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-20 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.06%E -4.81%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-20 19:00
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -7.97%E -3.35%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -7.56%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 19:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -9.13%E -3.89%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.89%EV -7.87%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 18:59
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%EV -3.33%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -1.48%E -0.455%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 18:59
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.95%EV -9.90%E -4.25%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 19:00
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.95%EV -9.90%E -4.25%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 19:00
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.95%EV -9.90%E -4.25%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.95%EV -9.90%E -4.25%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 19:00
LeoVegas🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.95%EV -9.90%E -4.25%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.95%EV -9.90%E -4.25%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.95%EV -9.90%E -4.25%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:59
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.95%EV -9.90%E -4.25%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.13%E -3.89%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 19:00
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -7.97%E -3.35%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-20 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.05%EV -9.90%E -4.25%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -10.67%E -3.70%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -6.03%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.00%E -0.936%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 18:59
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.00%E -0.936%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.20%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -3.00%E -0.936%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 18:59
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -9.13%E -3.89%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -11.84%E -5.19%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-20 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -11.84%E -5.19%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-20 19:00
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -11.84%E -5.19%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-20 19:00
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.20%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.00%E -0.936%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:00
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.20%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 18:59
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.06%E -4.81%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-20 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.06%E -4.81%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-20 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.06%E -4.81%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-20 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -13.00%E -5.78%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-20 19:00
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.06%E -4.81%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-20 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.13%E -3.89%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -14.70%E -5.35%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -1.48%E -0.455%K -0.658%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-20 19:00
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.97%E -3.35%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -14.70%E -5.35%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-20 19:00
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.06%E -4.81%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -14.70%E -5.35%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-20 19:00
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.06%E -4.81%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -14.70%E -5.35%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-20 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -11.06%E -4.81%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.25%E -6.02%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-20 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.96%EV -11.06%E -4.81%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -17.80%E -6.72%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-20 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-20 19:00
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%1.2%2026-03-20 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-03-20 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-03-20 19:00
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%2.5%2026-03-20 19:00