Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rodez AF v Pau FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-28 18:00 UTC

Final: Rodez AF 2–2 Pau FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rodez AF (Local)

Prediction 52.04%1.92fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -5.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.98%52.11%52.01%54.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.761.751.8460.98%56.96%57.14%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pau FC (Visit)

Prediction 23.21%4.31fair odd
EV +0.984%
Edge +0.226%
Kelly +0.294%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.46%23.18%23.28%24.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.054.004.3527.78%24.69%25.00%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.75%4.04fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.503%
Kelly -0.673%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.85%24.71%24.71%26.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.713.703.9628.57%26.93%27.03%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rodez AF (Local): 52.04%; Pau FC (Visit): 23.21%; Draw: 24.75%. For Pau FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.984%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -10.50%E -6.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +0.984%E +0.226%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 14:25
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -10.50%E -6.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +0.984%E +0.226%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -10.50%E -6.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +0.984%E +0.226%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -10.50%E -6.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +0.984%E +0.226%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -10.50%E -6.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +0.984%E +0.226%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 14:24
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -10.50%E -6.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +0.984%E +0.226%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 14:25
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -10.50%E -6.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +0.984%E +0.226%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 14:24
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -10.50%E -6.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +0.984%E +0.226%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 14:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -10.50%E -6.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +0.984%E +0.226%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -10.50%E -6.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +0.984%E +0.226%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 14:25
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.34%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -0.176%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.34%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 17:36
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -7.90%E -4.46%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 17:41
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -7.38%E -4.14%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -11.54%E -6.79%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 17:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.32%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.45%EV -2.73%E -0.696%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-28 17:45
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.43%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.34%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.23%EV -1.99%E -0.503%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 17:55
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.34%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 17:35
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.34%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -9.46%E -5.44%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.48%E -0.892%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.49%EV -8.42%E -4.78%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.95%EV -13.62%E -8.21%K -20.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-28 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -14.66%E -8.94%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-28 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -14.66%E -8.94%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-28 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -14.66%E -8.94%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-28 14:25
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.02%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.83%EV -5.05%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.15%EV -11.64%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 17:51
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.74%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.34%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 17:36
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.34%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 17:35
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.34%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -7.90%E -4.46%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-28 17:40
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -7.90%E -4.46%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-28 17:45
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.80%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 17:36
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.80%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-28 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-28 17:45
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -11.02%E -6.44%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-28 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -9.46%E -5.44%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -9.46%E -5.44%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 17:55
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.34%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 17:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.34%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 17:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.34%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 17:50
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.34%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 17:45
Suprabets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.67%EV -8.42%E -4.78%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.75%EV -11.09%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -5.82%E -3.21%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.48%E -0.892%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:45
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.34%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.90%E -4.46%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 17:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -7.90%E -4.46%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.71%EV -8.92%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 17:35
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 17:36
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 17:36
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 17:35
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -11.54%E -6.79%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -16.43%E -4.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-28 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-08-28 17:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-08-28 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-08-28 17:55
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-08-28 17:55
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-08-28 17:55