Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rodez AF v Nancy

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 18:00 UTC

Final: Rodez AF 3–4 Nancy

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rodez AF (Local)

Prediction 38.87%2.57fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.57%38.85%38.92%42.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4745.45%42.66%42.55%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nancy (Visit)

Prediction 33.25%3.01fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -0.992%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.74%33.20%33.26%34.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.792.802.9238.17%35.89%35.71%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.88%3.59fair odd
EV +0.358%
Edge +0.100%
Kelly +0.138%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%27.95%27.83%30.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.303.303.6033.33%30.26%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rodez AF (Local): 38.87%; Nancy (Visit): 33.25%; Draw: 27.88%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.358%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -14.49%E -6.59%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV +0.358%E +0.100%K +0.138%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -4.77%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.694%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 14:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.43%E -0.694%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:40
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.43%E -0.694%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:38
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.00%EV -4.00%E -1.62%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%EV -2.90%E -0.992%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.00%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 14:40
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:45
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:45
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:30
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:30
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:30
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:30
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.66%E -3.69%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 14:39
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.66%E -3.69%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:38
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -12.87%E -4.91%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 14:39
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 14:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.11%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.36%EV -7.22%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -5.77%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:30
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 12:05
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.95%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.15%EV -6.22%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -8.66%E -3.69%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 13:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -8.66%E -3.69%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.94%E -2.45%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.80%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.00%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.94%E -2.45%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.80%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.00%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.77%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.00%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:44
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -5.22%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.00%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 08:10
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.66%E -3.69%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.00%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.87%E -4.91%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -8.00%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:04
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -8.66%E -3.69%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.40%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 13:49
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -8.66%E -3.69%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.40%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 14:55
Suprabets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -8.66%E -3.69%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.23%EV -8.88%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.40%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 13:40
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -13.32%E -5.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.40%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -13.32%E -5.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.40%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -13.32%E -5.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.40%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 15:30
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -12.54%E -4.77%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.40%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 14:39
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 13:40
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 13:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 13:40
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 13:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.33%EV -7.88%E -3.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.28%EV -9.21%E -3.38%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 13:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.66%E -3.69%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 13:44
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -8.66%E -3.69%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -14.49%E -6.59%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 15:29
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.03%EV -12.55%E -5.58%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.52%EV -12.87%E -4.91%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-18 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.58%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.58%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 08:05
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.58%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 08:05
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.58%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 08:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -4.77%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -16.37%E -5.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 13:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%1.4%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.43%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.43%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-09-18 15:30