Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rodez AF v Grenoble

Kickoff: 2026-09-11 18:00 UTC

Final: Rodez AF 0–1 Grenoble

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rodez AF (Local)

Prediction 54.53%1.83fair odd
EV -5.11%
Edge -2.94%
Kelly -6.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.94%54.55%54.46%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.671.7462.50%59.65%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grenoble (Visit)

Prediction 19.81%5.05fair odd
EV -0.940%
Edge -0.188%
Kelly -0.235%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.56%19.85%19.76%21.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.624.605.0023.81%21.66%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.66%3.90fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.319%
Kelly -0.431%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.17%25.60%25.78%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.293.613.603.8530.40%27.69%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rodez AF (Local): 54.53%; Grenoble (Visit): 19.81%; Draw: 25.66%. For Grenoble (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.00, with an expected value of -0.940%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.31%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.37%EV -3.32%E -0.680%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.32%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 13:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.89%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -8.86%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -8.86%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 13:35
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -8.86%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 13:35
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.28%EV -6.20%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -5.89%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -1.23%E -0.319%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.73%EV -6.62%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -6.88%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 18:02
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -5.89%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.51%E -0.661%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 18:04
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.89%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 07:39
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 12:54
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 12:55
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -8.86%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 09:07
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -8.86%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 12:10
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -8.86%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 12:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -11.49%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 12:10
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -7.84%E -4.64%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -7.84%E -4.64%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -3.91%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -6.62%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.92%EV -7.84%E -4.64%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.940%E -0.188%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.76%EV -7.84%E -4.64%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -8.38%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.88%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -2.51%E -0.661%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 22:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.99%EV -8.38%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -8.86%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.49%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.51%E -0.661%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 21:15
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.51%E -0.661%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 21:15
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.51%E -0.661%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 21:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.51%E -0.661%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 21:15
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.51%E -0.661%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 21:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.51%E -0.661%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 21:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.51%E -0.661%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 21:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.51%E -0.661%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 21:15
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.51%E -0.661%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 21:15
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.51%E -0.661%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 21:49
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -6.88%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -6.88%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-05 23:03
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 22:30
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:00
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 09:05
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 09:05
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -14.21%E -3.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 18:04
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.79%E -4.00%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.79%E -4.00%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 14:45
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.79%E -4.00%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.79%E -4.00%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -16.79%E -4.00%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 13:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.49%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -8.86%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.75%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -14.81%E -3.44%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 12:10
Suprabets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.38%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.69%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 26.93%EV -15.59%E -4.74%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 12:51
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.60%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 06:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.40%EV -10.57%E -6.44%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -16.79%E -4.00%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-07 12:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.90%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -2.51%E -0.661%K -0.897%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:00
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.59%EV -12.20%E -7.58%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 21:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -12.75%E -7.97%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -12.75%E -7.97%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 21:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -12.75%E -7.97%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 21:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.02%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%3.9%2026-09-09 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.02%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%3.9%2026-09-09 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.02%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%3.9%2026-09-09 16:45
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.16%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%4.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 54.75%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%5.0%2026-09-09 17:10