Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Red Star v Stade Lavallois

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Red Star (Local)

Prediction 54.33%1.84fair odd
EV -5.47%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -7.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.87%54.30%54.30%55.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.701.711.7460.24%58.71%58.48%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stade Lavallois (Visit)

Prediction 18.99%5.27fair odd
EV +0.633%
Edge +0.119%
Kelly +0.147%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.00%19.01%18.98%19.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.764.755.3022.22%21.02%21.05%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.68%3.75fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.789%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.60%26.69%26.72%28.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.433.453.6433.33%29.14%28.99%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Red Star (Local): 54.33%; Stade Lavallois (Visit): 18.99%; Draw: 26.68%. For Stade Lavallois (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.27. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.633%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.13%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.00%EV +0.633%E +0.119%K +0.147%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.27%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.13%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.00%EV +0.633%E +0.119%K +0.147%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.27%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 17:55
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -0.317%E -0.060%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.94%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 17:39
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.09%EV -5.47%E -3.14%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.58%EV -2.03%E -0.393%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.33%EV -2.87%E -0.789%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.06%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -8.18%E -4.84%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.06%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.94%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 17:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -8.18%E -4.84%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.06%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.08%EV -4.47%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 17:55
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.06%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.06%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 17:34
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -5.47%E -3.14%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV -6.96%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -5.27%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.96%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.13%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -6.96%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.98%EV -8.48%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 17:46
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.64%E -4.49%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -6.96%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 17:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -9.27%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.96%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.73%E -5.19%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.96%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:40
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -9.27%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -7.91%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.94%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 17:38
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.25%EV -7.64%E -4.49%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.02%EV -7.91%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 17:40
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.25%EV -7.64%E -4.49%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.02%EV -7.91%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.86%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -9.27%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.86%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -3.94%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -9.81%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.68%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -9.81%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:19
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.81%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 17:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.81%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 17:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.81%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.81%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.81%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.64%E -4.49%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.81%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -9.27%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -9.81%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.83%EV -9.81%E -5.91%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -9.81%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 17:50
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.27%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -9.81%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 17:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.86%EV -8.18%E -4.84%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -10.76%E -2.29%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 17:45
Suprabets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.05%EV -8.73%E -5.19%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -10.76%E -2.29%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.63%EV -9.01%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 17:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:15
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:15
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:15
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:15
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:15
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:15
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.39%EV -8.73%E -5.19%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -5.27%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.39%EV -8.73%E -5.19%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -5.27%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.64%E -4.49%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.64%E -4.49%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.64%E -4.49%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 17:15
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.64%E -4.49%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 17:50
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -9.27%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.28%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-03 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -9.27%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.28%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-03 17:35
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -9.27%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.28%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-03 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -9.27%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.66%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.28%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-03 17:35
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -9.27%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -14.56%E -3.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.27%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.56%E -3.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-03 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -9.27%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -14.56%E -3.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -19.95%E -6.65%K -9.97%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-03 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-04-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-03 17:55
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.09%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-04-03 17:55