Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Red Star v Stade de Reims

Início: 2026-08-29 12:00 UTC

Final: Red Star 1–4 Stade de Reims

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Red Star (Local)

Previsão 32.57%3.07odd justa
EV -2.29%
Vantagem -0.765%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.11%32.57%32.54%33.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.852.803.0038.17%35.14%35.71%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stade de Reims (Visitante)

Previsão 39.10%2.56odd justa
EV -2.26%
Vantagem -0.903%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.00%39.10%39.12%40.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.352.352.5044.44%42.54%42.55%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.33%3.53odd justa
EV -3.66%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.38%28.33%28.35%29.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.233.203.4032.79%30.98%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Red Star (Local): 32.57%; Stade de Reims (Visitante): 39.10%; Empate: 28.33%. Para Stade de Reims (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.56. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.50, com valor esperado de -2.26%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 11:10
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 11:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 11:45
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.09%EV -5.23%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.51%EV -2.26%E -0.903%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.40%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 11:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.32%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.14%EV -7.34%E -3.10%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 11:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -6.85%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -6.85%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:55
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.68%EV -6.85%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.30%EV -4.60%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.02%EV -8.76%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 10:31
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 10:30
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:10
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:45
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -10.86%E -4.76%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 09:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -13.58%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 09:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -13.58%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -13.58%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 09:20
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 11:45
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 11:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.05%EV -6.56%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 11:41
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 11:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 11:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.83%EV -7.34%E -3.10%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:55
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 10:31
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.95%E -2.92%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:45
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.95%E -2.92%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:44
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 10:31
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:50
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 11:40
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 11:41
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 11:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 11:50
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.44%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.44%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 11:45
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.44%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:55
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.44%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 11:45
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.44%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.44%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.44%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 11:45
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -10.44%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 11:45
Suprabets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.33%EV -11.09%E -4.06%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%EV -6.95%E -2.92%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 11:44
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 10:30
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -14.67%E -5.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-29 11:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-29 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-29 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-29 11:50
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-29 11:45
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.14%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.78%2.2%2026-08-29 11:50