Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Red Star v Stade de Reims

Inicio: 2026-08-29 12:00 UTC

Final: Red Star 1–4 Stade de Reims

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Red Star (Local)

Predicción 32.57%3.07momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.765%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.11%32.57%32.54%33.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.622.852.803.0038.17%35.14%35.71%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stade de Reims (Visitante)

Predicción 39.10%2.56momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.903%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.00%39.10%39.12%40.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.352.352.5044.44%42.54%42.55%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 28.33%3.53momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.38%28.33%28.35%29.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.233.203.4032.79%30.98%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Red Star (Local): 32.57%; Stade de Reims (Visitante): 39.10%; Empate: 28.33%. Para Stade de Reims (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.56. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.50, con un valor esperado de -2.26%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 11:10
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 11:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 11:45
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.09%EV -5.23%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.51%EV -2.26%E -0.903%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.40%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 11:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.32%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.14%EV -7.34%E -3.10%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 11:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -6.85%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -6.85%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:55
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.68%EV -6.85%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.30%EV -4.60%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.02%EV -8.76%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 10:31
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 10:30
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:10
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:45
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -10.86%E -4.76%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 09:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -13.58%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 09:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -13.58%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -13.58%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 09:20
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 11:45
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 11:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.05%EV -6.56%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 11:41
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 11:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 11:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.83%EV -7.34%E -3.10%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:55
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 10:31
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.95%E -2.92%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:45
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.95%E -2.92%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:44
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 10:31
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:50
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 11:40
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 11:41
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 11:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 11:50
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.44%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.44%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 11:45
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.44%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:55
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.44%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 11:45
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.44%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.44%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.44%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 11:45
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -10.44%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 11:45
Suprabets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.33%EV -11.09%E -4.06%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%EV -6.95%E -2.92%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 11:44
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 10:30
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -14.67%E -5.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-29 11:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-29 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-29 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-29 11:50
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-29 11:45
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.14%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.78%2.2%2026-08-29 11:50