The School of Odds
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Red Star v Saint Etienne

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 18:00 UTC

Final: Red Star 0–1 Saint Etienne

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Red Star (Local)

Prediction 30.22%3.31fair odd
EV +0.631%
Edge +0.189%
Kelly +0.271%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.64%30.12%30.21%31.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.083.3335.71%32.75%32.52%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Etienne (Visit)

Prediction 43.15%2.32fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%43.19%43.23%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.122.152.2550.76%47.07%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.63%3.76fair odd
EV -0.138%
Edge -0.037%
Kelly -0.050%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.52%26.69%26.56%28.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.413.403.7531.75%29.33%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Red Star (Local): 30.22%; Saint Etienne (Visit): 43.15%; Draw: 26.63%. For Red Star (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.631%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.91%EV +0.631%E +0.189%K +0.271%G +0.002%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.78%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.31%EV -2.54%E -0.693%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 17:55
BetUS🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.91%EV +0.631%E +0.189%K +0.271%G +0.002%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.78%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.31%EV -2.54%E -0.693%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -0.276%E -0.084%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.30%EV -14.99%E -7.61%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 17:35
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -13.70%E -6.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-17 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -13.70%E -6.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-17 17:55
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.10%EV -6.36%E -2.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%EV -0.138%E -0.037%K -0.050%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-17 17:35
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 17:34
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -6.79%E -3.15%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -6.79%E -3.15%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 17:55
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -5.72%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.65%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 17:54
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -5.72%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.65%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 10:38
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 11:54
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 11:44
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 11:45
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 11:44
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 11:44
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 11:44
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 11:44
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 11:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 11:44
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 11:44
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 17:55
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 17:35
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 17:55
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 17:55
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 17:55
1xBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -6.36%E -2.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.66%EV -6.36%E -2.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -16.12%E -5.12%K -7.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.58%EV -8.13%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.24%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 16:23
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-16 18:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 17:35
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 10:35
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 10:35
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 17:35
picklebet_au🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 17:35
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 17:35
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -10.25%E -4.93%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 17:35
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 17:35
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 17:34
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 17:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 10:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.24%EV -8.09%E -3.80%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 17:34
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-14 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-14 11:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.64%EV -10.25%E -4.93%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-14 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.64%EV -10.25%E -4.93%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-14 11:44
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -12.36%E -4.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-16 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.36%E -4.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-16 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.36%E -4.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-16 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -12.36%E -4.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -13.70%E -6.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-17 17:34
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -15.39%E -5.49%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-16 22:55
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.39%E -5.49%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-17 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-10-17 17:55
Matchbook◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-10-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-10-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-10-17 17:35
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.48%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%3.1%2026-10-17 17:55