The School of Odds
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Red Star v Saint Etienne

2026-10-17 18:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Red Star (Local)

Prediction 26.81%3.73fair odd
EV -0.808%
Edge -0.218%
Kelly -0.299%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.58%26.74%27.00%28.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.353.7033.33%29.80%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Etienne (Visit)

Prediction 45.15%2.21fair odd
EV -5.18%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -4.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.81%45.13%45.06%46.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.022.022.1053.48%49.58%49.38%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.04%3.57fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.369%
Kelly -0.515%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.56%28.13%27.94%29.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.273.253.5232.26%30.55%30.77%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Red Star (Local): 26.81%; Saint Etienne (Visit): 45.15%; Draw: 28.04%. For Red Star (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.70, with an expected value of -0.808%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -0.808%E -0.218%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.29%EV -5.63%E -2.70%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 20:10
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.49%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.44%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -11.67%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 20:29
1xBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -9.70%E -4.85%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.56%EV -1.30%E -0.369%K -0.515%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 20:35
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.70%E -4.85%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.70%E -4.85%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.70%E -4.85%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 20:10
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.70%E -4.85%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 20:10
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.44%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 20:15
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.44%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-11 00:10
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.44%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 20:29
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.44%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 20:30
NetBet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -11.05%E -5.61%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 20:39
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.18%E -2.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.44%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.44%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 20:10
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.44%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.07%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 20:10
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.44%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -10.60%E -5.35%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 20:30
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -12.87%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.18%E -2.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 01:05
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.87%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.70%E -4.85%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-10 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.95%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.11%EV -15.57%E -8.32%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.95%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-10 20:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -15.55%E -4.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.75%EV -11.50%E -5.87%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-10 20:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -16.89%E -5.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.61%EV -12.41%E -6.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.47%EV -11.67%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-10 20:30
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -19.57%E -6.52%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -11.95%E -6.13%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-10 20:11
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%16.9%2026-10-10 20:30