Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.30
assuming max odds 3.50
assuming max odds 3.26
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Red Star (Local): 41.55%; Le Mans FC (Visit): 28.53%; Draw: 29.92%. For Le Mans FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -0.149%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -4.43%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 10:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.14%EV -5.26%E -2.31%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -0.149%E -0.042%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.41%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 09:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.14%EV -5.26%E -2.31%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -0.149%E -0.042%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.41%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 09:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.58%EV -6.09%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -1.58%E -0.457%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.52%EV -2.47%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.00%E -0.883%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.26%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.76%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.26%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.66%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.13%E -3.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -5.76%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 10:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.67%EV -7.85%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.17%EV -8.15%E -2.66%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.75%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 10:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.75%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.99%E -4.26%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.76%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.99%E -4.26%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.76%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.99%E -4.26%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.76%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.99%E -4.26%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.76%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 09:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.99%E -4.26%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.76%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.99%E -4.26%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.76%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.99%E -4.26%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.76%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.99%E -4.26%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.76%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 08:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.99%E -4.26%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.76%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.99%E -4.26%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.76%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.99%E -4.26%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.76%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.13%E -3.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -14.41%E -4.80%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -14.41%E -4.80%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -14.41%E -4.80%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.00%E -0.883%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.00%E -0.883%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.76%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.75%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.13%E -3.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 10:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.75%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.75%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.20%EV -9.41%E -4.32%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.49%EV -6.66%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 12:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.20%EV -9.41%E -4.32%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.49%EV -6.66%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.00%E -0.883%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.30%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 29.72%EV -8.45%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 12:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.75%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.74%E -6.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -12.74%E -6.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.41%E -4.80%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -16.23%E -5.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04% | 2.4% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |