Language:English
Pau FC v Stade Lavallois
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pau FC (Local)
Prediction 44.72%2.24fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.52%44.72%44.68%46.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.052.052.1451.55%48.72%48.78%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stade Lavallois (Visit)
Prediction 27.89%3.58fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -0.841%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.84%27.86%27.93%29.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.303.4833.33%30.59%30.30%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.38%3.65fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.54%27.42%27.40%28.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.303.303.5032.26%30.31%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pau FC (Local): 44.72%; Stade Lavallois (Visit): 27.89%; Draw: 27.38%. For Stade Lavallois (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.48, with an expected value of -2.93%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -4.30%E -2.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 08:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -4.30%E -2.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 08:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -4.30%E -2.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -4.30%E -2.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -4.30%E -2.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -4.30%E -2.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -4.30%E -2.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -4.30%E -2.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -4.30%E -2.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -4.15%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 21:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-25 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.34%E -2.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.36%EV -6.53%E -3.13%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.24%EV -2.93%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.40%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-28 10:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.98%E -3.36%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-23 02:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.98%E -3.36%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-23 02:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -7.87%E -3.82%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.16%EV -5.80%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 12:42 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -7.87%E -3.82%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.34%E -2.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-23 02:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.52%EV -7.87%E -3.82%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.52%EV -7.87%E -3.82%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.52%EV -7.87%E -3.82%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 08:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.15%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 20:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 20:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-25 21:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-04 03:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-04 03:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.34%E -2.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -5.52%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-23 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 05:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-02 13:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-22 09:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-22 09:28 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-22 09:28 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-22 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-03 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-04 19:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -8.77%E -4.30%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.04%EV -5.80%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-24 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.57%EV -8.77%E -4.30%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.22%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.22%EV -13.74%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.56%E -5.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-04 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.56%E -5.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.64%EV -9.90%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.72%EV -11.82%E -3.67%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-24 18:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.56%E -5.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.56%E -5.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.56%E -5.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.56%E -5.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 19:14 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -11.45%E -5.78%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.40%EV -9.90%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 27.91%EV -13.19%E -4.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-23 08:22 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -11.45%E -5.78%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-23 02:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -11.90%E -6.04%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-03 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.15%EV -12.35%E -6.30%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.37%EV -14.92%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.47%EV -13.74%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-23 02:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -12.79%E -6.56%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-02 06:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.68%EV -12.79%E -6.56%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.66%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.66%EV -13.74%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-05 08:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -12.79%E -6.56%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-22 09:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.58%EV -13.24%E -6.83%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -9.34%E -2.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-03 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 43.43% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52% | 16.9% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |