La scuola delle quote

Pau FC v SC Bastia

Inizio: 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pau FC (Casa)

Previsione 37.88%2.64quota equa
EV -2.26%
Vantaggio -0.875%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.30%38.00%37.91%42.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.382.402.5846.51%42.05%41.67%38.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Bastia (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.87%3.04quota equa
EV +1.90%
Vantaggio +0.613%
Kelly +0.905%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.49%32.79%32.79%34.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.862.823.1038.17%34.94%35.46%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.24%3.42quota equa
EV -3.49%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.13%29.21%29.30%30.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.143.163.3035.71%31.87%31.65%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:41
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -18.55%E -8.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV +0.256%E +0.084%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -18.55%E -8.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV +0.256%E +0.084%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 18:40
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -18.55%E -8.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV +0.256%E +0.084%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 18:40
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.76%EV -3.39%E -1.33%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.42%EV -2.37%E -0.799%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.81%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 18:51
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.34%EV -3.02%E -1.18%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.25%EV -7.59%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.34%EV -3.02%E -1.18%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.25%EV -7.59%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 18:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -10.97%E -4.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 18:35
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 18:29
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 18:30
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 37.75%EV -6.43%E -2.60%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -8.76%E -2.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:55
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 18:55
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:35
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:30
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:30
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:30
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.84%EV -2.26%E -0.875%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.46%EV -6.65%E -2.34%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 18:50
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.59%EV -6.98%E -2.46%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 18:55
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.32%E -3.44%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.30%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:30
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.32%E -3.44%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.30%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:30
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 18:40
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:55
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 18:55
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 18:46
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -10.97%E -4.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -10.97%E -4.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:30
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:30
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:55
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:55
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.84%E -4.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:30
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.80%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 18:55
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 18:30
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 18:55
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -8.62%E -3.10%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 18:51
Suprabets2.46I 40.65%NM 36.97%EV -6.80%E -2.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.71%EV -8.62%E -3.10%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:55
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:30
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 18:50
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-06 18:30
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -11.25%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.43%EV -8.32%E -3.44%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.44%EV -13.55%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.13%EV -5.83%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -13.55%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-06 18:30
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -13.55%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-06 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.30%EV -9.84%E -4.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -13.55%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.85%EV -18.11%E -6.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-06 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -13.88%E -5.30%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 18:30
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -13.88%E -5.30%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 18:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -9.84%E -4.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -13.88%E -5.30%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 18:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-03-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-03-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-06 18:45
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-06 18:50
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.70%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%2.0%2026-03-06 18:45