La escuela de los momios

Pau FC v SC Bastia

Inicio: 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pau FC (Local)

Predicción 37.88%2.64momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.875%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.30%38.00%37.91%42.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.382.402.5846.51%42.05%41.67%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SC Bastia (Visitante)

Predicción 32.87%3.04momio equitativo
EV +1.90%
Ventaja +0.613%
Kelly +0.905%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.49%32.79%32.79%34.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.862.823.1038.17%34.94%35.46%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.24%3.42momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.13%29.21%29.30%30.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.143.163.3035.71%31.87%31.65%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:41
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -17.41%E -7.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV +1.90%E +0.613%K +0.905%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -18.55%E -8.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV +0.256%E +0.084%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -18.55%E -8.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV +0.256%E +0.084%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 18:40
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -18.55%E -8.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV +0.256%E +0.084%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 18:40
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.76%EV -3.39%E -1.33%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.42%EV -2.37%E -0.799%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.81%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 18:51
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.34%EV -3.02%E -1.18%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.25%EV -7.59%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.34%EV -3.02%E -1.18%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.25%EV -7.59%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 18:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -10.97%E -4.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 18:35
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 18:29
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 18:30
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 37.75%EV -6.43%E -2.60%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -8.76%E -2.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:55
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 18:55
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:35
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:30
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:30
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:30
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.84%EV -2.26%E -0.875%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.46%EV -6.65%E -2.34%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 18:50
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.59%EV -6.98%E -2.46%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 18:55
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.32%E -3.44%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.30%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:30
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.32%E -3.44%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.30%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:30
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 18:40
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:55
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 18:55
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 18:46
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -10.97%E -4.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -10.97%E -4.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:30
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:30
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:55
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:55
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.84%E -4.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:30
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.80%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 18:55
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 18:30
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 18:55
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -8.62%E -3.10%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 18:51
Suprabets2.46I 40.65%NM 36.97%EV -6.80%E -2.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.71%EV -8.62%E -3.10%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:55
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:30
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 18:50
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-06 18:30
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -11.25%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.43%EV -8.32%E -3.44%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.44%EV -13.55%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.13%EV -5.83%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -13.55%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-06 18:30
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -13.55%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-06 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.30%EV -9.84%E -4.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -13.55%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.85%EV -18.11%E -6.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-06 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -13.88%E -5.30%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 18:30
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -13.88%E -5.30%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 18:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -9.84%E -4.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -13.88%E -5.30%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 18:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-03-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-03-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-06 18:45
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-06 18:50
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.70%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%2.0%2026-03-06 18:45