La scuola delle quote

Pau FC v Saint Etienne

Inizio: 2026-02-28 19:02 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pau FC (Casa)

Previsione 30.05%3.33quota equa
EV -0.826%
Vantaggio -0.250%
Kelly -0.359%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.71%30.00%30.04%32.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.46%32.26%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Saint Etienne (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.47%2.30quota equa
EV -2.19%
Vantaggio -0.975%
Kelly -1.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.46%43.53%43.48%46.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.082.102.2552.36%47.96%47.62%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.48%3.78quota equa
EV +0.614%
Vantaggio +0.162%
Kelly +0.219%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.24%26.47%26.48%27.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.453.453.8032.26%28.96%28.99%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.15%EV -7.44%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV +0.614%E +0.162%K +0.219%G +0.001%4.2%2026-02-28 19:00
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.15%EV -7.44%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV +0.614%E +0.162%K +0.219%G +0.001%4.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -0.710%E -0.189%K -0.258%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 19:00
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.02%EV -8.04%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.54%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.45%EV -1.24%E -0.332%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:59
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.34%EV -4.73%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.94%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 18:59
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:59
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 19:00
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 18:59
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -0.826%E -0.250%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -15.23%E -7.81%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 19:00
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 19:00
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 18:58
Parions Sport (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 18:59
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 18:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:59
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 19:00
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 18:59
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -11.34%E -3.85%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.14%EV -8.28%E -3.92%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 19:00
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -5.03%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.56%EV -6.97%E -3.26%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -8.39%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:00
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 19:00
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -6.24%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.71%EV -8.28%E -3.92%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 18:57
BetUS3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -6.24%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.71%EV -8.28%E -3.92%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 18:59
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -0.826%E -0.250%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -12.19%E -6.04%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 19:00
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -0.826%E -0.250%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -12.19%E -6.04%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 19:00
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -0.826%E -0.250%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -12.19%E -6.04%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 19:00
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 18:59
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 30.66%EV -10.74%E -3.62%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.95%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 19:00
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 19:00
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 18:59
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 18:59
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 18:59
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -8.34%E -2.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -2.33%E -0.717%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 19:00
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 18:59
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 19:00
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 19:00
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 19:00
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -14.36%E -7.29%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-28 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.85%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 18:59
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.85%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.85%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 19:00
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.85%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 18:59
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.48%EV -14.80%E -7.55%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.48%EV -14.80%E -7.55%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Suprabets3.06I 32.68%NM 29.68%EV -8.04%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.45%EV -9.15%E -4.38%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.87%EV -10.51%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 18:58
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -15.85%E -5.66%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 19:00
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.69%EV -16.10%E -8.34%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 19:00
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -14.35%E -5.04%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -2.19%E -0.975%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.62%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 19:00
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.62%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 19:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.89%E -5.31%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.95%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-28 19:00
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -15.27%E -4.77%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -14.35%E -5.04%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.98%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -15.27%E -4.77%K -6.94%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -13.45%E -4.67%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -16.97%E -8.89%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -17.92%E -5.78%K -8.53%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-28 18:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-02-28 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-02-28 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-02-28 19:00
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-02-28 18:59
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%2.7%2026-02-28 19:00