مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pau FC v Saint Etienne

البداية: 2026-02-28 19:02 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pau FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.05%3.33السعر العادل
EV -0.826%
الأفضلية -0.250%
Kelly -0.359%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.71%30.00%30.04%32.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.46%32.26%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Saint Etienne (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.47%2.30السعر العادل
EV -2.19%
الأفضلية -0.975%
Kelly -1.75%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.46%43.53%43.48%46.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.082.102.2552.36%47.96%47.62%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.48%3.78السعر العادل
EV +0.614%
الأفضلية +0.162%
Kelly +0.219%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.24%26.47%26.48%27.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.453.453.8032.26%28.96%28.99%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.15%EV -7.44%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV +0.614%E +0.162%K +0.219%G +0.001%4.2%2026-02-28 19:00
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.15%EV -7.44%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV +0.614%E +0.162%K +0.219%G +0.001%4.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -0.710%E -0.189%K -0.258%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 19:00
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.02%EV -8.04%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.54%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.45%EV -1.24%E -0.332%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:59
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.34%EV -4.73%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.94%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 18:59
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:59
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 19:00
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 18:59
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -0.826%E -0.250%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -15.23%E -7.81%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 19:00
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 19:00
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 18:58
Parions Sport (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 18:59
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 18:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:59
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 19:00
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 18:59
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -11.34%E -3.85%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.14%EV -8.28%E -3.92%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 19:00
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -5.03%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.56%EV -6.97%E -3.26%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -8.39%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:00
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 19:00
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -6.24%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.71%EV -8.28%E -3.92%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 18:57
BetUS3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -6.24%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.71%EV -8.28%E -3.92%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 18:59
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -0.826%E -0.250%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -12.19%E -6.04%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 19:00
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -0.826%E -0.250%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -12.19%E -6.04%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 19:00
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -0.826%E -0.250%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -12.19%E -6.04%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 19:00
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 18:59
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 30.66%EV -10.74%E -3.62%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.95%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 19:00
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 19:00
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 18:59
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 18:59
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 18:59
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -8.34%E -2.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -2.33%E -0.717%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 19:00
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 18:59
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 19:00
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 19:00
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 19:00
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -14.36%E -7.29%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-28 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.85%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 18:59
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.85%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.85%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 19:00
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.85%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 18:59
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.48%EV -14.80%E -7.55%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.48%EV -14.80%E -7.55%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Suprabets3.06I 32.68%NM 29.68%EV -8.04%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.45%EV -9.15%E -4.38%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.87%EV -10.51%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 18:58
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -15.85%E -5.66%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 19:00
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.69%EV -16.10%E -8.34%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 19:00
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -14.35%E -5.04%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -2.19%E -0.975%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.62%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 19:00
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.62%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 19:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.89%E -5.31%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.95%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-28 19:00
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -15.27%E -4.77%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -14.35%E -5.04%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.98%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -15.27%E -4.77%K -6.94%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -13.45%E -4.67%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -16.97%E -8.89%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -17.92%E -5.78%K -8.53%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-28 18:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-02-28 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-02-28 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-02-28 19:00
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-02-28 18:59
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%2.7%2026-02-28 19:00