L’École des cotes

Pau FC v Nancy

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Score final : Pau FC 1–3 Nancy

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pau FC (Local)

Prévision 35.81%2.79cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%35.89%35.89%37.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.542.552.7142.02%39.41%39.22%36.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nancy (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.70%2.80cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -0.659%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.13%35.68%35.64%37.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.622.622.7541.67%38.18%38.17%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.48%3.51cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -0.930%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.34%28.43%28.47%29.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.203.203.4034.72%31.28%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.06%EV -2.94%E -1.09%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.06%EV -3.24%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.88%EV -9.43%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -3.30%E -1.22%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.17%E -2.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.16%E -0.930%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 17:25
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.16%EV -7.17%E -2.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:54
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.16%EV -7.17%E -2.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:55
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.09%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.60%E -1.33%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 17:30
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.09%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 17:25
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -5.09%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:25
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -5.09%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.74%E -4.30%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -5.81%E -2.21%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -1.81%E -0.659%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.34%EV -3.16%E -0.930%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 17:50
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.28%EV -6.17%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.83%EV -7.88%E -3.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 17:25
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.28%EV -6.17%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.83%EV -7.88%E -3.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 17:25
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -6.17%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:34
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 17:50
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 17:49
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:25
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:50
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:50
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:25
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.74%E -4.30%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 17:24
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.74%E -4.30%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 17:30
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.67%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.17%E -2.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:45
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.67%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -10.74%E -4.30%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 17:25
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -8.67%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:50
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.67%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:25
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.89%EV -9.39%E -3.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -4.31%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:55
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.13%EV -9.75%E -3.87%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.42%EV -8.24%E -3.21%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:55
Bovada2.51I 39.84%NM 36.70%EV -10.11%E -4.03%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.51%EV -4.67%E -1.75%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:54
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -10.46%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.16%E -0.930%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 17:54
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.46%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.17%E -2.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 17:40
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.46%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.17%E -2.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 17:45
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.46%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.74%E -4.30%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 17:25
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.46%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.74%E -4.30%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 17:25
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.46%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.17%E -2.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -14.56%E -4.85%K -7.28%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -10.46%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -14.31%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -17.97%E -6.24%K -9.56%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-02 17:35
Suprabets2.49I 40.16%NM 36.50%EV -10.82%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.09%EV -7.53%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:42
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -12.26%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 17:55
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -12.97%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -1.81%E -0.659%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -12.97%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -1.81%E -0.659%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -12.97%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -1.81%E -0.659%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -12.97%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -1.81%E -0.659%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -12.97%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -1.81%E -0.659%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -12.97%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -1.81%E -0.659%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -12.97%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -1.81%E -0.659%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -12.97%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -1.81%E -0.659%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -12.97%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -1.81%E -0.659%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -12.97%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -1.81%E -0.659%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:51
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -12.97%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -1.81%E -0.659%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -12.97%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -1.81%E -0.659%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -14.05%E -5.85%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -1.81%E -0.659%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -14.05%E -5.85%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -1.81%E -0.659%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -14.05%E -5.85%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -1.81%E -0.659%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:50
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -14.76%E -6.20%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -10.74%E -4.30%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-02 17:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.68%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.38%0.1%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.68%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.38%0.1%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.68%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.38%0.1%2026-05-02 17:55
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.71%2.0%2026-05-02 17:50