Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nantes v USL Dunkerque

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 12:00 UTC

Final: Nantes 2–3 USL Dunkerque

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nantes (Local)

Prediction 58.13%1.72fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -2.84%
Kelly -7.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.50%58.36%58.15%61.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.581.591.6468.03%63.23%62.89%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

USL Dunkerque (Visit)

Prediction 18.64%5.36fair odd
EV +6.25%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.083%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.95%18.42%18.61%19.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.955.005.7022.22%20.22%20.00%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.23%4.31fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.584%
Kelly -0.767%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.18%23.22%23.24%24.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.913.954.2027.78%25.57%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nantes (Local): 58.13%; USL Dunkerque (Visit): 18.64%; Draw: 23.23%. For USL Dunkerque (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.36. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.86%EV -14.54%E -9.89%K -30.94%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.95%EV +6.25%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.083%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -4.78%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 17.09%EV +4.76%E +0.846%K +1.03%G +0.049%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.26%EV -4.08%E -0.988%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 11:50
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 17.09%EV +4.76%E +0.846%K +1.03%G +0.049%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.26%EV -4.08%E -0.988%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 11:45
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -10.47%E -6.80%K -19.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV +4.38%E +0.783%K +0.953%G +0.042%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.78%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 11:25
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.19%EV -11.64%E -7.65%K -22.38%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV +0.655%E +0.121%K +0.149%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -7.10%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 11:30
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -7.57%E -4.76%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.14%E -0.408%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.45%E -0.584%K -0.767%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 11:24
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.14%E -0.408%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.10%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -6.98%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -3.07%E -0.591%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.10%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 11:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -6.98%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -3.07%E -0.591%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.10%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 11:35
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -2.45%E -0.584%K -0.767%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 05:59
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.78%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 11:23
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 12:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 12:24
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 12:24
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 12:24
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 12:24
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 12:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 12:24
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 12:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 12:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.98%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.10%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 08:55
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.57%E -4.76%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.10%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 11:15
picklebet_au🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.10%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 11:35
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.98%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.98%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.98%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 11:45
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.98%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -12.80%E -8.53%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 11:45
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -12.80%E -8.53%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-17 11:30
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -12.80%E -8.53%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-17 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.10%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 06:00
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -6.98%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.58%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 11:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.71%EV -8.15%E -5.16%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.58%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-17 08:54
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.71%EV -8.15%E -5.16%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.58%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-17 08:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-17 09:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -9.60%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -5.94%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 05:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.17%EV -9.89%E -6.38%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.59%EV -9.60%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.24%EV -9.89%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 11:35
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -9.89%E -6.38%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -9.60%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -10.58%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 11:35
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -6.98%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -10.53%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 11:54
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -6.98%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -10.53%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 11:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.31%EV -8.15%E -5.16%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -10.53%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 09:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -10.53%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-16 11:54
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.38%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.53%EV -10.72%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.09%EV -5.94%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 05:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.10%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 06:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-12 12:24
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -9.31%E -5.97%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.83%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-12 12:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -9.31%E -5.97%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -12.39%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.10%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 08:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -9.31%E -5.97%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -12.39%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.10%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.19%EV -9.89%E -6.38%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -12.39%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -14.07%E -3.80%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-12 12:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.19%EV -9.89%E -6.38%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -12.39%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -14.07%E -3.80%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-12 12:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.26%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 11:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.26%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 11:20
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.26%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 11:20
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.26%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 11:25
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -14.26%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 05:40
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -9.89%E -6.38%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -16.12%E -3.58%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-17 05:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.50%EV -10.47%E -6.80%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.33%EV -16.12%E -3.58%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.17%EV -16.39%E -4.55%K -6.30%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-17 11:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-10-17 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-10-17 11:35
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-10-17 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-10-17 11:45
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41%1.4%2026-10-17 11:45