Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nantes v Stade de Reims

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC

Final: Nantes 0–0 Stade de Reims

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nantes (Local)

Prediction 42.54%2.35fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.28%42.55%42.63%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.122.2750.00%46.90%47.17%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stade de Reims (Visit)

Prediction 29.80%3.36fair odd
EV -0.165%
Edge -0.049%
Kelly -0.070%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.93%29.71%29.81%30.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.113.103.3534.72%32.11%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.66%3.62fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -0.916%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.62%27.74%27.56%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.303.303.5032.26%30.32%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nantes (Local): 42.54%; Stade de Reims (Visit): 29.80%; Draw: 27.66%. For Stade de Reims (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -0.165%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.77%EV -3.43%E -1.51%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.01%EV -5.83%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.22%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 07:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.28%EV -4.70%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.28%EV -4.70%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 16:25
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.21%E -0.916%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 12:15
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.23%EV -7.91%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.31%EV -5.42%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-24 07:15
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 04:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 12:20
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-24 07:05
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-24 07:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-24 07:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-24 07:05
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-24 07:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -12.09%E -4.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-05 05:51
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.64%EV -7.26%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.18%EV -8.21%E -2.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.18%EV -5.42%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-24 07:07
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.21%E -0.916%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-05 07:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.21%E -0.916%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-26 12:24
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-27 00:14
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-05 12:09
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-05 12:09
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-23 23:05
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-23 23:04
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-02 13:26
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-02 13:24
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-30 12:15
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-05 12:05
Suprabets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.35%EV -8.96%E -4.19%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.10%EV -12.38%E -4.21%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -14.27%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-24 17:05
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -9.81%E -4.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -0.165%E -0.049%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.35%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 12:15
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -9.81%E -4.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -0.165%E -0.049%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.35%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 12:15
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -9.81%E -4.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -0.165%E -0.049%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.35%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -9.81%E -4.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -0.165%E -0.049%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.35%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 12:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -9.81%E -4.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -0.165%E -0.049%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.35%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 12:20
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -9.81%E -4.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -0.165%E -0.049%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.35%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 12:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -9.81%E -4.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -0.165%E -0.049%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.35%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 12:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -9.81%E -4.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -0.165%E -0.049%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.35%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 12:19
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -9.81%E -4.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -0.165%E -0.049%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.35%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 12:20
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.81%E -4.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-22 10:43
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -9.81%E -4.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-23 23:10
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-22 10:48
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-05 12:05
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-05 04:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-05 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-05 04:10
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-05 04:15
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.92%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.57%EV -14.17%E -4.92%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-02 06:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.13%EV -11.94%E -5.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.07%EV -12.06%E -3.79%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-25 12:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.20%EV -11.94%E -5.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.09%E -4.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -14.27%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-02 05:48
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -12.79%E -6.24%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-05 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -12.79%E -6.24%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -12.09%E -4.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-05 12:20
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -12.79%E -6.24%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -14.27%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-22 10:44
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.96%EV -13.21%E -6.48%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-05 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.96%EV -13.21%E -6.48%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-05 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.96%EV -13.21%E -6.48%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-05 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.81%EV -14.06%E -6.96%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -12.89%E -4.09%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-05 12:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -14.91%E -7.46%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-04 12:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 42.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 28.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.58%16.6%2026-09-30 12:05