Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nantes v Rodez AF

2026-08-22 12:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nantes (Local)

Prediction 55.04%1.82fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -5.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.23%54.93%55.26%56.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.671.7463.69%59.82%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rodez AF (Visit)

Prediction 20.19%4.95fair odd
EV +0.958%
Edge +0.192%
Kelly +0.239%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.83%20.27%19.97%22.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.524.505.0025.00%22.12%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.77%4.04fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.871%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%24.81%24.77%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.683.703.9029.41%27.19%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nantes (Local): 55.04%; Rodez AF (Visit): 20.19%; Draw: 24.77%. For Rodez AF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.95. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.00, producing a positive expected value of +0.958%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -8.09%E -4.84%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +0.958%E +0.192%K +0.239%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 12:15
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -9.19%E -5.57%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -3.08%E -0.642%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 12:15
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -9.19%E -5.57%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -3.08%E -0.642%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 12:14
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.36%EV -6.98%E -4.13%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -4.09%E -0.861%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.54%E -4.49%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.09%E -0.861%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 13:54
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -8.09%E -4.84%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.09%E -0.861%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -8.09%E -4.84%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.09%E -0.861%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -8.09%E -4.84%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -4.09%E -0.861%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 13:55
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -9.19%E -5.57%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -4.09%E -0.861%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 13:50
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -9.19%E -5.57%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -4.09%E -0.861%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -8.09%E -4.84%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 13:59
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -8.09%E -4.84%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 13:55
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -8.64%E -5.20%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 15:03
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -10.29%E -6.31%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 12:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.87%EV -13.59%E -8.66%K -23.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-17 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.59%EV -7.54%E -4.49%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.09%EV -6.11%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.32%EV -4.88%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 18:40
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.43%E -3.79%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -7.12%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.43%EV -4.88%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 18:38
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -8.09%E -4.84%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -7.12%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-17 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -6.43%E -3.79%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -7.12%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.78%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 17:19
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.43%E -3.79%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 13:54
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.43%E -3.79%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.43%E -3.79%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.43%E -3.79%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -8.09%E -4.84%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 14:00
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.41%EV -10.96%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.33%EV -3.89%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 14:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -9.19%E -5.57%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.19%E -5.57%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.31%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 15:00
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.19%E -5.57%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.31%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 14:59
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.19%E -5.57%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.31%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.19%E -5.57%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.31%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -13.18%E -3.06%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -13.18%E -3.06%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -13.18%E -3.06%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 14:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -7.54%E -4.49%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -14.19%E -3.34%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.65%EV -8.85%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -7.54%E -4.49%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -15.20%E -3.62%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -3.40%E -0.871%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 14:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -7.54%E -4.49%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -15.20%E -3.62%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -3.40%E -0.871%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 14:14
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.76%EV -7.54%E -4.49%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -15.20%E -3.62%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 13:44
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -10.84%E -6.69%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -15.20%E -3.62%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-17 15:04
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.70%EV -10.84%E -6.69%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -15.20%E -3.62%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -15.78%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-17 13:54
Suprabets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.23%EV -8.64%E -5.20%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -19.23%E -4.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.68%EV -11.32%E -3.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-17 13:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 54.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.91%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%16.8%2026-08-17 12:15

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