The School of Odds
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Nantes v Clermont

Kickoff: 2026-10-30 19:00 UTC

Final: Nantes 1–1 Clermont

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nantes (Local)

Prediction 63.40%1.58fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -5.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.47%63.39%63.36%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.461.451.5372.99%68.53%68.97%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clermont (Visit)

Prediction 14.26%7.01fair odd
EV +3.40%
Edge +0.469%
Kelly +0.545%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 7.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.13%14.27%14.28%15.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.286.257.2518.18%15.93%16.00%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.33%4.48fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -0.760%
Kelly -0.988%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.96%22.35%22.36%23.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.044.004.3326.32%24.74%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nantes (Local): 63.40%; Clermont (Visit): 14.26%; Draw: 22.33%. For Clermont (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.01. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -6.80%E -4.62%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.13%EV +3.40%E +0.469%K +0.545%G +0.019%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -3.96%E -0.921%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 18:49
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.16%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%7.18I 13.93%NM 13.40%EV +2.40%E +0.335%K +0.389%G +0.009%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.43%EV -4.18%E -0.976%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-30 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.07%E -5.56%K -17.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -0.162%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.07%E -5.56%K -17.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -0.162%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.50%EV -6.80%E -4.62%K -14.46%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -3.01%E -0.443%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.50%EV -6.80%E -4.62%K -14.46%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -3.01%E -0.443%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 18:40
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.50%EV -6.80%E -4.62%K -14.46%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -3.01%E -0.443%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.79%EV -13.14%E -9.59%K -35.51%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.25%EV -3.01%E -0.443%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -3.96%E -0.921%K -1.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-30 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -5.08%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -9.33%E -6.53%K -21.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-30 18:40
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.15%EV -6.16%E -4.16%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.33%EV -7.01%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -7.31%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -6.16%E -4.16%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -3.29%E -0.760%K -0.988%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -6.16%E -4.16%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -3.96%E -0.921%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-30 18:35
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.16%E -4.16%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 18:34
picklebet_au🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -6.80%E -4.62%K -14.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.28%EV -6.80%E -4.62%K -14.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.41%EV -7.31%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.25%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -3.96%E -0.921%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-30 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.24%EV -9.97%E -7.02%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-30 18:50
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-30 17:39
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-30 17:44
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -9.97%E -7.02%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-30 18:50
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-30 18:30
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-30 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-30 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-30 18:35
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.24%E -8.03%K -28.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-30 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.24%E -8.03%K -28.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-30 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.24%E -8.03%K -28.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-30 18:50
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.55%EV -7.43%E -5.09%K -16.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -10.86%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-30 18:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -9.97%E -7.02%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -10.86%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -3.96%E -0.921%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-30 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.17%EV -11.24%E -8.03%K -28.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.15%EV -10.86%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-30 18:10
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -7.43%E -5.09%K -16.16%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.75%EV -11.57%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.59%EV -9.55%E -2.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -7.43%E -5.09%K -16.16%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.75%EV -11.57%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.59%EV -9.55%E -2.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.64%EV -8.07%E -5.56%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.65%EV -11.57%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-30 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 18:40
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 18:40
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 18:40
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.67%EV -10.60%E -7.52%K -25.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-30 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -15.13%E -3.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-30 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.12%EV -9.33%E -6.53%K -21.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%EV -14.01%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-30 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -9.33%E -6.53%K -21.71%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.09%EV -15.85%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.65%EV -12.23%E -3.11%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-30 18:48
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -17.99%E -3.13%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-30 14:50
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -17.99%E -3.13%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-30 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -17.99%E -3.13%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-30 14:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -17.99%E -3.13%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-30 14:49
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.47%EV -6.16%E -4.16%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.98%EV -20.13%E -3.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.13%E -3.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-30 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.47%EV -6.16%E -4.16%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.98%EV -20.13%E -3.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.13%E -3.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-30 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.63%EV -6.80%E -4.62%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.92%EV -20.13%E -3.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.13%E -3.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-30 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.63%EV -6.80%E -4.62%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.92%EV -20.13%E -3.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.13%E -3.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-30 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.63%EV -6.80%E -4.62%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.92%EV -20.13%E -3.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.13%E -3.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-30 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.63%EV -10.60%E -7.52%K -25.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -21.56%E -3.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -14.01%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-30 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-10-30 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-10-30 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-10-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-10-30 18:40
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-10-30 18:40