The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Nancy v Stade Lavallois

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 18:00 UTC

Final: Nancy 1–0 Stade Lavallois

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nancy (Local)

Prediction 57.99%1.72fair odd
EV -5.48%
Edge -3.36%
Kelly -8.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.64%58.04%57.99%60.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.581.6366.67%63.04%63.29%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stade Lavallois (Visit)

Prediction 18.46%5.42fair odd
EV +0.425%
Edge +0.078%
Kelly +0.096%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.34%18.46%18.52%19.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.945.005.4422.22%20.23%20.00%18.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.55%4.25fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.719%
Kelly -0.950%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.54%23.51%23.49%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.843.804.1227.78%26.01%26.32%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nancy (Local): 57.99%; Stade Lavallois (Visit): 18.46%; Draw: 23.55%. For Stade Lavallois (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.42. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.425%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.14%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.61%EV +0.425%E +0.078%K +0.096%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.25%EV -2.96%E -0.719%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-23 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -7.80%E -4.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -2.16%E -0.408%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 15:44
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.48%E -3.36%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -3.08%E -0.587%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.80%E -4.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -4.01%E -0.770%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.80%E -4.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -4.01%E -0.770%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 15:54
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.80%E -4.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -4.01%E -0.770%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 15:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -13.02%E -8.68%K -26.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -4.01%E -0.770%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-23 13:26
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.93%EV -8.38%E -5.30%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -4.93%E -0.957%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -4.61%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-23 13:36
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.19%EV -5.48%E -3.36%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.85%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.19%EV -5.48%E -3.36%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.85%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 01:00
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.19%EV -5.48%E -3.36%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.85%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 01:00
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.19%EV -5.48%E -3.36%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.85%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 00:55
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.19%EV -5.48%E -3.36%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.85%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 00:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.19%EV -5.48%E -3.36%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.85%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 00:55
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.19%EV -5.48%E -3.36%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.85%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 00:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.19%EV -5.48%E -3.36%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.85%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.19%EV -5.48%E -3.36%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.85%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 01:00
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -5.85%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 15:50
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.45%EV -6.41%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.09%EV -4.61%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 13:36
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.43%E -0.838%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-23 12:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-23 12:20
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-23 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-23 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.80%E -4.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 15:40
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-23 15:40
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-23 14:24
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-23 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 15:45
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 15:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 15:54
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -9.54%E -6.12%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-23 12:20
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -9.54%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-23 13:36
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -9.54%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-23 12:20
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -9.54%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-23 12:20
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -10.12%E -6.53%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -10.47%E -2.16%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -9.32%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-23 15:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -7.80%E -4.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -11.39%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -8.38%E -5.30%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -11.39%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -9.32%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-23 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.31%EV -8.38%E -5.30%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -11.39%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-23 12:37
picklebet_au🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -11.39%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.75%EV -8.38%E -5.30%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -11.39%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -14.03%E -3.84%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-23 00:55
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.91%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -11.39%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -14.03%E -3.84%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-23 00:55
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.60%EV -10.12%E -6.53%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -11.39%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-23 15:06
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.76%EV -9.54%E -6.12%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -12.31%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -15.21%E -4.23%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-23 00:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.76%EV -9.54%E -6.12%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -12.31%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -15.21%E -4.23%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-23 07:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.76%EV -9.54%E -6.12%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -12.31%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -15.21%E -4.23%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-23 00:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.99%EV -13.02%E -8.68%K -26.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.51%EV -13.24%E -2.82%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -12.86%E -3.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-23 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -8.38%E -5.30%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 12:21
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -8.38%E -5.30%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -6.97%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-23 12:20
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 12:20
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -12.86%E -3.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-23 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -12.86%E -3.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-23 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -12.86%E -3.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-23 12:20
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -12.86%E -3.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-23 12:20
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.89%EV -10.12%E -6.53%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -16.93%E -3.76%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.51%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-23 07:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45%1.5%2026-10-23 15:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45%1.5%2026-10-23 15:55
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-10-23 15:59
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-10-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-10-23 15:59