L’École des cotes

Nancy v Saint Etienne

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nancy (Local)

Prévision 23.52%4.25cote équitable
EV +1.15%
Avantage +0.266%
Kelly +0.347%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.67%23.44%23.64%24.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.703.903.854.3027.03%25.61%25.97%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Saint Etienne (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.52%2.02cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -4.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.47%49.66%49.41%51.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.851.851.9457.80%53.97%54.05%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.95%3.71cote équitable
EV +1.08%
Avantage +0.287%
Kelly +0.391%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.46%26.90%26.95%29.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.413.403.7532.26%29.33%29.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.73%EV -4.91%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV +1.08%E +0.287%K +0.391%G +0.004%4.7%2026-04-04 17:14
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 17:14
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 17:15
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV +1.15%E +0.266%K +0.347%G +0.004%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.11%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.31%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 17:29
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV +1.15%E +0.266%K +0.347%G +0.004%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.11%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.31%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 17:30
Pinnacle4.28I 23.36%NM 22.46%EV +0.675%E +0.158%K +0.206%G +0.001%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.32%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 17:40
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 17:14
PMU (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:04
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:05
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:04
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:05
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:05
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:04
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:04
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:04
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:04
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:10
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:10
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:10
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.97%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 17:15
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 17:20
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:20
Betclic (FR)3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -8.73%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.27%EV -6.89%E -3.67%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 17:33
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 13:05
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 13:04
1xBet4.08I 24.51%NM 22.96%EV -4.03%E -0.988%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.89%E -3.67%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.23%EV -7.28%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 17:34
Marathon Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -3.56%E -0.868%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.28%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 17:33
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.56%E -0.868%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 17:48
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV +1.15%E +0.266%K +0.347%G +0.004%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 17:39
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 17:09
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 17:19
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 17:20
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.21%E -0.287%K -0.377%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 17:44
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -6.89%E -3.67%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 17:14
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -8.88%E -4.82%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 17:20
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -8.88%E -4.82%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 17:19
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 17:49
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 17:50
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 17:49
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 17:29
NetBet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.31%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 17:44
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 17:35
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -3.56%E -0.868%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 17:19
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -1.21%E -0.287%K -0.377%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 17:34
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 17:34
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 17:39
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 17:39
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -13.33%E -7.62%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 17:29
Suprabets4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 27.62%EV -11.32%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 17:33
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 17:34
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 17:34
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 17:10
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 17:14
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.47%EV -3.92%E -2.02%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.51%EV -15.90%E -5.10%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -14.32%E -8.28%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -16.44%E -5.30%K -7.83%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 17:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-04-04 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-04-04 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-04-04 17:30
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-04-04 17:30
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-04-04 17:30