La escuela de los momios

Nancy v Saint Etienne

Inicio: 2026-04-04 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Nancy (Local)

Predicción 23.52%4.25momio equitativo
EV +1.15%
Ventaja +0.266%
Kelly +0.347%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.67%23.44%23.64%24.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.703.903.854.3027.03%25.61%25.97%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Saint Etienne (Visitante)

Predicción 49.52%2.02momio equitativo
EV -3.92%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -4.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.47%49.66%49.41%51.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.851.851.9457.80%53.97%54.05%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.95%3.71momio equitativo
EV +1.08%
Ventaja +0.287%
Kelly +0.391%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.46%26.90%26.95%29.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.413.403.7532.26%29.33%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.73%EV -4.91%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV +1.08%E +0.287%K +0.391%G +0.004%4.7%2026-04-04 17:14
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 17:14
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 17:15
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV +1.15%E +0.266%K +0.347%G +0.004%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.11%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.31%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 17:29
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV +1.15%E +0.266%K +0.347%G +0.004%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.11%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.31%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 17:30
Pinnacle4.28I 23.36%NM 22.46%EV +0.675%E +0.158%K +0.206%G +0.001%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.32%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 17:40
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 17:14
PMU (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:04
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:05
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:04
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:05
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:05
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:04
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:04
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:04
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:04
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:10
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:10
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:10
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.97%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 17:15
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 17:20
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:20
Betclic (FR)3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -8.73%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.27%EV -6.89%E -3.67%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 17:33
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 13:05
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 13:04
1xBet4.08I 24.51%NM 22.96%EV -4.03%E -0.988%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.89%E -3.67%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.23%EV -7.28%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 17:34
Marathon Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -3.56%E -0.868%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.28%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 17:33
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.56%E -0.868%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 17:48
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV +1.15%E +0.266%K +0.347%G +0.004%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 17:39
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 17:09
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 17:19
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 17:20
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.21%E -0.287%K -0.377%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 17:44
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -6.89%E -3.67%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 17:14
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -8.88%E -4.82%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 17:20
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -8.88%E -4.82%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 17:19
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 17:49
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 17:50
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 17:49
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 17:29
NetBet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.31%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 17:44
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 17:35
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -3.56%E -0.868%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 17:19
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -1.21%E -0.287%K -0.377%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 17:34
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 17:34
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 17:39
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 17:39
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -13.33%E -7.62%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 17:29
Suprabets4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 27.62%EV -11.32%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 17:33
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 17:34
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 17:34
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 17:10
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 17:14
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.47%EV -3.92%E -2.02%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.51%EV -15.90%E -5.10%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -14.32%E -8.28%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -16.44%E -5.30%K -7.83%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 17:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-04-04 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-04-04 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-04-04 17:30
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-04-04 17:30
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-04-04 17:30