Language:English
Nancy v Guingamp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nancy (Local)
Prediction 44.86%2.23fair odd
EV +0.032%
Edge +0.014%
Kelly +0.026%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.76%44.74%44.85%46.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.082.052.2352.36%48.19%48.78%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Guingamp (Visit)
Prediction 29.15%3.43fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.64%29.22%29.21%32.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.063.103.3036.36%32.68%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.00%3.85fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.670%
Kelly -0.914%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.04%25.94%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.503.7530.30%28.57%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nancy (Local): 44.86%; Guingamp (Visit): 29.15%; Draw: 26.00%. For Nancy (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.229. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.230, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.032%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV +0.032%E +0.014%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV +0.032%E +0.014%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 21:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV +0.032%E +0.014%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV +0.032%E +0.014%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV +0.032%E +0.014%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV +0.032%E +0.014%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV +0.032%E +0.014%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 21:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV +0.032%E +0.014%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV +0.032%E +0.014%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.94%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -18.39%E -6.57%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.94%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -18.39%E -6.57%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-04 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.94%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -18.39%E -6.57%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-04 21:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.09%EV -4.90%E -2.31%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.51%E -0.670%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-05 07:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.76%EV -4.90%E -2.31%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -19.85%E -7.22%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-04 21:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.38%EV -6.15%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-04 13:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.32%EV -7.02%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.13%EV -6.93%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 13:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 07:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-04 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 07:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 07:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.74%EV -6.70%E -3.22%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.26%EV -7.32%E -2.30%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.99%EV -6.93%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 07:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 12:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 07:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 07:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 04:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 04:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-04 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-04 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-04 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-04 18:06 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-04 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -9.39%E -4.65%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -9.39%E -4.65%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -9.39%E -4.65%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -9.39%E -4.65%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-04 19:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.29%E -5.14%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 07:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.29%E -5.14%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.29%E -5.14%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-05 07:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -10.29%E -5.14%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-04 11:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.47%EV -10.73%E -5.39%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-04 13:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -11.18%E -5.65%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-05 06:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.30%EV -11.63%E -5.90%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 10:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.37%EV -11.63%E -5.90%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.11%EV -7.32%E -2.30%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -12.39%E -3.68%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -12.08%E -6.16%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -11.10%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.18%EV -12.53%E -6.42%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.11%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-10-05 08:37 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.09%EV -13.43%E -6.96%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -11.10%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-05 07:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -14.32%E -7.50%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-05 06:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.02% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28% | 12.2% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |