L’École des cotes

Montpellier v Troyes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Montpellier (Local)

Prévision 32.05%3.12cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -0.843%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.20%32.20%31.98%34.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.812.813.0438.02%35.62%35.59%32.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Troyes (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.17%2.49cote équitable
EV +0.436%
Avantage +0.174%
Kelly +0.291%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.61%40.03%40.19%41.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.342.302.5045.45%42.74%43.48%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.77%3.60cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -0.797%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%27.77%27.83%29.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.59%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 05:30
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:04
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:04
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:05
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:04
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.00%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.34%EV -1.97%E -0.809%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 11:45
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.00%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.34%EV -1.97%E -0.809%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 11:45
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.56%E -0.843%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.14%EV -3.58%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.17%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 11:44
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -3.58%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 11:30
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 11:45
1xBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 11:44
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 11:29
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:30
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.85%EV -6.09%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -6.80%E -2.93%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -7.24%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 11:44
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.69%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 11:44
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 11:44
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 11:44
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.87%EV -7.79%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 11:38
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 11:45
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 11:30
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.69%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.73%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 11:44
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 11:30
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:20
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:20
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:20
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:20
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.41%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.40%E -3.69%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 11:44
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.41%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.40%E -3.69%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 11:44
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.69%EV -8.80%E -3.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 11:44
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.01%EV -9.61%E -3.41%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.77%EV -8.80%E -3.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:45
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 11:44
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 11:42
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 11:45
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:30
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 11:45
Suprabets2.91I 34.36%NM 31.25%EV -6.73%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.33%EV -10.85%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 11:45
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 11:44
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 11:44
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:44
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:45
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.73%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.73%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 11:45
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.73%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.73%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 11:45
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 11:30
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.46%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.73%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 11:29
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -13.46%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-04 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -13.46%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -20.01%E -6.95%K -10.64%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-04 11:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-04 11:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-04 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-04 11:45
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-04 11:45
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-04-04 11:44